On Sat, 2012-10-27 at 04:46 +0200, Charles Haynes wrote:
> Do you have a six sided die? What do you think the chances are that
> you will roll a 1?

and

On Fri, 2012-10-26 at 23:07 +0530, Deepa Mohan wrote:

> that probability is
> 50%...something may happen or occur, or it might not.


The dice idea is nice while Deepa's concept is easier for a child to
understand. 

I think that while children need to understand uncertainty, their
security and mental health depend on certainty. To my knowledge religion
and the concept of a supreme being who makes the final decision as to
what might happen is a useful crutch in explaining uncertainty to a
child.

shiv


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