On Sun, Oct 28, 2012 at 10:31:24PM +0200, Charles Haynes wrote: > On Sun, Oct 28, 2012 at 9:08 AM, Venky <[email protected]> wrote: > > > And since nobody has brought this up yet, my favourite example of the > > counter intuitive probability puzzle: > > http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_Hall_problem > > > I do not think you should expect to be able to explain conditional > probability to a seven year old.
You might even able to succeed, this time, but it's highly likely to backfire long-term, unless that is a highly exceptional seven year old (if it was, you'd already know, and how). I really think that you can only nudge, not push. If you keep pushing, you make very obvious what your values are, and every kid would want to avoid disappointing you, up to the point of complete misery. And sustained misery leads to permanent revulsion. It's supposed to be fun, so I would try to keep it strictly fun.
