On Sun, Oct 28, 2012 at 7:15 AM, Deepak Shenoy <[email protected]>wrote:
> > Answer 2: Won't bet much. Tails is much more likely since it's not > come for a while, and it's supposed to. (This is the thought process > of many people in casino slot machines, and I've been a victim :)) > > Answer 3: Bet big. Twenty times heads? Dude, the coin is loaded. > > It may be easier to explain probability to a child via a cause-> effect based explanation like the above . an example is the typical "why should I wash my hands ? " question that my son asks - and I reminded him the last time of a rather nasty food poisoning he got a while back which I said was likely caused by his not washing hands. He is now more likely to wash his hands (though not all the time) . The other case is when he is on a bicycle and i am running after him - I usually let him win , but then 1 out of 5 times I usually make it a point to win (which used to initially upset him ) but in the end he knows he is not going to win every-time - its always a bet whether he wins or not.
