Title: Message
The Kosovo conundrum
 
By its own performance definitions, the U.N. effort has been a failure  
Smoke rises from where a car bomb exploded outside a restaurant in Pristina, Kosovo, Dec. 13. The bombing highlighted the volatility of the province, which has been run by the U.N. since June 1999.
 
By David Binder
Dec. 20 —  Three and a half years after the United States bombed its way with NATO into the then-Serbian province of Kosovo and imposed an international protectorate, how does it look in that recurrent trouble spot?

     
     

 
Under the new circumstances Kosovo is still deeply troubled, with both Serbs and Albanians resentful and international authorities frustrated.

       AFTER ALL, Kosovo, the historic homeland of ethnic Albanians, Serbs, Roma (Gypsies), Turks and several other minorities, was unmistakably a festering sore for more than a century. Its Albanians and Serbs vied for and alternately won suzerainty, repeatedly chasing out thousands of their ethnic rivals.
       Under the new circumstances Kosovo is still deeply troubled, with both Serbs and Albanians resentful and international authorities frustrated.
       Now the nearly 2 million Albanian inhabitants vastly outweigh the barely 100,000 remaining Serbs and members of other minorities, having driven out 230,000 non-Albanians during the almost helpless governance of the United Nations and a NATO military contingent now numbering 30,000. The minorities live in 24 ghetto-like settlements.
       
CRIME AND POVERTY
       Despite pious, almost weekly declarations by the United Nations that the protectorate will be “multiethnic,” Kosovo is essentially Albanian and will remain so in the distant foreseeable future. A mere 2,500 Serbs and other minority members have returned to their communities, and even those are only able to do so under heavy international guard.
       Violent crimes occur almost weekly. The province is a hub of organized crime for the central Balkans.

MAP: Kosovo province        Albanians continue to murder Serbs and sometimes other Albanians. On Nov. 16 two Serbian Orthodox churches in the Istok municipality were severely damaged by explosives, adding to 110 Serbian churches destroyed or desecrated since June 1999. The evening of Dec. 13 a car bomb detonated on crowded Bill Clinton Avenue in downtown Pristina, injuring 32.
       On a typical day, Dec. 5, troops of the international Kosovo Force reported separate confiscations of a machine gun, two large mortar bombs, four grenades and one pistol. Bigger caches are routinely discovered.
       Although Pristina, the Kosovo capital, boasts images of bustling activity such as many new Albanian houses, the U.N. Development Program has estimated that half the population of the province lives at or below the poverty line. Unemployment hovers around 50 percent.
       
HISTORY OF TURMOIL
 

       Sadly, this is nothing new. During four decades of Yugoslav Communist rule, Kosovo persisted as an economic basket case despite billions poured in from richer parts of the federation as assistance to the “underdeveloped region.” The U.N. now appears to be haplessly replicating the Communists’ unsuccessful strivings to create a harmonious and prosperous province. It is “not a viable economic entity,” said Elez Biberaj, head of Voice of America’s Albanian service.
       On the surface there are faint signs of normality. Kosovo has a president, a parliament and municipal authorities. But they have few powers. Real authority is vested only in Michael Steiner, who is in charge of the United Nations Mission in Kosovo (UNMIK) and who routinely undoes decisions taken by the many Albanian and the few Serbian institutions.
       In the view of Susan Manuel, until recently the UNMIK spokeswoman, this has created a “culture of dependency,” where provincial officials tend to shirk making decisions because they know international authorities will have the final say.
       As they have for two decades, Albanian leaders press constantly for an “independent” Kosovo and are regularly told by everyone from U.N. Secretary General Kofi Annan on down that no change in the status (defined by U.N. resolution 1244, adopted in 1999) can be contemplated until “benchmarks” are achieved, starting with “a society based on the rule of law.”
       After a 24-hour visit in Kosovo in November, Annan pronounced the international effort “a successful mission.” Rather, by its own performance definitions on communal security, interethnic dialogue and returns of minorities, the U.N. effort is a failure.
       
FACING THE CONUNDRUM
       No one wants to address the Kosovo issues in terms of a realistic compromise — not a division of territory giving the Serbs a small slice of their own, not a program of guaranteed returns for displaced minorities and not a simple empowerment of the Albanians.
 

       Yet there are the murky, changeable factors of time and of resources. The donor world is already preoccupied with Afghanistan and other desperately needy populations. The United Nations has pulled out of Bosnia, transferring its responsibilities to European institutions. Europe is also scheduled to take over NATO’s mission in Macedonia in the spring. President Bush said Nov. 24 he expected that the 5,000-person U.S. contingent in Kosovo would “gradually reduce in size.”
       Sooner or later but inevitably, the United States and Europe will again have to face the Kosovo conundrum.
       

David Binder began reporting on Kosovo for The New York Times in 1963.
http://www.msnbc.com/news/850225.asp





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