You have played

1,000,378 games with NO SWITCH and won 333280, (33,3%)

1,001,627 games with SWITCH and won 667514, (66,6%)

I hope this concludes this discussion :p

2005/12/27, Gilles van den Peereboom <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>:
> I like this explanation :
>
> "There are three possible scenarios, each with equal probability (1/3):
>
>     * The player picks goat number 1. The game host picks the other
> goat. Switching will win the car.
>     * The player picks goat number 2. The game host picks the other
> goat. Switching will win the car.
>     * The player picks the car. The game host picks either of the two
> goats. Switching will lose.
>
> In the first two scenarios, the player wins by switching. The third
> scenario is the only one where the player wins by staying. Since two
> out of three scenarios win by switching and each scenario is equally
> likely, the odds of winning by switching are 2/3. In other words, a
> player who has a policy of always switching will win the car on
> average two times out of the three."
> (wikipedia)
>
> Gilles
> 2005/12/27, Anders Larsson <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>:
> > In any dobuts, check <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_Hall_problem>.
> >
> > /Anders
> >
> >
> >
> >
> >
> >
> >
> >
> >
> > Yahoo! Groups Links
> >
> >
> >
> >
> >
> >
> >
>


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