If you have a 1/3 probability of winning each time, and out of 100 
trials you won 76, the probability of that happening is:

(1/3)^76*(2/3)^24*(100 nCr 76)

Where 100 nCr 76 is 100 choose 76.  I think that's correct, but I might 
be wrong, but of course, that number is definitely really small.  Let's 
compete the probability that someone can win 76 or more times.

Sum(i=76 to 100): (1/3)^i*(2/3)^(100-i)*(100 nCr i)

Using Mathematica, I got 3*10^(-18).

With that type of probability, I'd risk my testicles.  And Leyan's too.

Tyson Mao
MSC #631
California Institute of Technology

On Dec 28, 2005, at 7:11 PM, Stefan Pochmann wrote:

> P.S. Is somebody capable of computing the odds for winning those 76
> out of 100?



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