--- In [email protected], "Mike Bennett"
<[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>
> > That's correct. Can you write it as a concise formula?
>
> .50 + (.50*.50) = .75
>
> Px + (Pnotx*Py) = .75
> where P is probability
>
> Is that right at least? :)
Yep. Can you also show a concise formula for three things, i.e. x, y
and z?
> > > 7/8 * 31/108 .251
> > > 5/6 * 51/648 .065
> > > 26/27 * 9/24 .574
> > > 11/12 * 7/24 .267
> > > ------------ ----
> > > 1.16
> > > So, dividing 41% by 1.16 we get ~35%.
> >
> > Hmm, that stuff looks like mystery to me :-)
> > Where do you get all those numbers like 648 from?
> >
> > Cheers!
> > Stefan
>
> The first numbers were all the probabilities of not getting a skip
in
> a particular step, the second numbers are the probabilities of
getting
> a skip in the other steps
Those second numbers are computed with your initial wrong method,
though :-). Try answering the x/y/z question above first.
> The 648 was a common denominator (read: I
> was too lazy to find a nicer common multiple for 24 and 27).
Hehe, there's a real nice way to find the least common multiple,
worthwile to find it :-)
Cheers!
Stefan
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