On Oct 22, 2008, at 9:33 AM, Mark wrote:

>
> Bruce Johnson wrote:
>> On Oct 22, 2008, at 9:11 AM, Mark wrote:
>>
>>
>>> Is all the money going to Obama at the expense of regional races ?
>>>
>>
>> I don't know. A huge proportion of Obama's money is coming from  
>> donors
>> giving < $200...while that's been a winning strategy nationwide, it's
>> hard to raise that much money that way in a congressional district,
>> for instance.
>>
>>
>>
>>
> yeah, I was thinking that money might more traditionally go to the
> congressional races.

Not really...this is a complex issue. For instance, Obama's popularity  
alone will provide a 'coattails' effect downticket, absent giving any  
money to the district races, they'll get a net benefit from the money  
he's spending nationally. Also, I'm not sure, but I think that  
campaign finance rules prevent them from just giving the money away  
downstream.

And I do mean NATIONALLY...Obama's making significant TV buys here in  
Arizona. Since we only have 10EV, and have been very red in the past,  
PLUS it's McCain's home state, Presidential races pretty much ignored  
Arizona.

However, the D's are looking to take one or two more seats here (Renzi  
AZ01, and Shadegg AZ03), so

So for Obama's team to be spending money here is pretty significant.

Or maybe it's just a sign they have more than they can spend in OH, FL  
and PA....

-- 
Bruce Johnson
University of Arizona
College of Pharmacy
Information Technology Group

Institutions do not have opinions, merely customs



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