Bruce Johnson wrote: > On Oct 22, 2008, at 9:33 AM, Mark wrote: > > >> Bruce Johnson wrote: >> >>> On Oct 22, 2008, at 9:11 AM, Mark wrote: >>> >>> >>> >>>> Is all the money going to Obama at the expense of regional races ? >>>> >>>> >>> I don't know. A huge proportion of Obama's money is coming from >>> donors >>> giving < $200...while that's been a winning strategy nationwide, it's >>> hard to raise that much money that way in a congressional district, >>> for instance. >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> >> yeah, I was thinking that money might more traditionally go to the >> congressional races. >> > > Not really...this is a complex issue. For instance, Obama's popularity > alone will provide a 'coattails' effect downticket, absent giving any > money to the district races, they'll get a net benefit from the money > he's spending nationally. Also, I'm not sure, but I think that > campaign finance rules prevent them from just giving the money away > downstream. > > And I do mean NATIONALLY...Obama's making significant TV buys here in > Arizona. Since we only have 10EV, and have been very red in the past, > PLUS it's McCain's home state, Presidential races pretty much ignored > Arizona. > > However, the D's are looking to take one or two more seats here (Renzi > AZ01, and Shadegg AZ03), so > > So for Obama's team to be spending money here is pretty significant. > > Or maybe it's just a sign they have more than they can spend in OH, FL > and PA.... > > Well he's outspending McCain like 9 to 1 in a lot of places (Ohio) but there are state races around here that are financially and literally going uncontested by Dems. They are throwing money at my congressional race but the best argument against the Rep is that folks are tired of looking at him (Chabot/Driehaus). Then the local parties made some unholy deals not to compete in a few county races -- but that's another story altogether.....
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