http://www.saudi-us-relations.org/energy/saudi-energy-reserves.html
Saudi Arabia Resources and Energy
SAUDI-US RELATIONS INFORMATION SERVICE

Saudi Arabia's Oil Reserves - Overview

Future of Global Oil Supply: Saudi Arabia
A Conference Hosted at the Center for Strategic and International Studies on 
Feb. 24, 2004


* Saudi Arabia's Oil Reserves - Overview

* Introductory Remarks

* Presentation - Mr. Mahmoud M. Abdul Baqi, Saudi Aramco, Vice 
President, Exploration
[ Audio ]  [ Text ]  [ Bio ]

* Presentation, Dr. Nansen Saleri, Saudi Aramco, Manager, Reservoir Management 
[ Audio ]  [ Text ]  [ Bio ] 

* [ Slides - Summary - 50 Year Crude Oil Supply Scenarios: Saudi 
Aramco's Perspective - (PDF - 2.17MB) ]

* [ Slides - Presentation - 50 Year Crude Oil Supply Scenarios (PDF - 
4.89MB) ] 

* [Saudi Aramco Quick Facts ]

* Discussion Forum


NOTE: This is the summary of Mahmoud Abdul-Baqi and Nansen Saleri's 
presentations which were given to the CSIS in Washington on February 
24, 2004

Global Outlook:

World energy demand is expected to increase at an annual rate of 1% 
to 2% over the next 15 years, reaching an annual demand of 107 
million barrels per day by 2020, partly as an anticipated consequence 
of growth in China, India and other South East Asian economies.

Worldwide oil reserves at year-end 2002 stand at 1050 billion 
barrels, of which 65% (or 686 billion barrels) is in the Middle East, 
with Saudi Arabia being the principal player. The Middle East 
contributes about a third of total world production, has a 
reserves-to-production life of 92 years and is expected to play a 
pre-eminent role in the global energy theater.

Overview of Upstream Operations:

Saudi Aramco's current operations encompass 1.5 million square 
kilometers, comprising 85 fields, 320 reservoirs and 25% of world oil 
reserves. Current daily production capability stands at 10 million 
barrels of crude oil and 9.6 billion cubic feet of gas. The Company's 
strategy calls for an annual reserves replacement of its crude 
production, while adding 5 trillion cubic feet gas reserves through 
an integrated exploration, delineation and development program.

Reserves and Future Potential:

Saudi Aramco's oil and gas reserves conform to industry standards. 
Reserves attributable to enhanced oil recovery (EOR) processes are 
excluded, underscoring the conservative nature of the Company's 
reserves. Year-end 2003 proved oil reserves totaled 260 billion 
barrels. Incremental probable and possible reserves (over and above 
the 260 billion barrels) are estimated to be 103 billion barrels. 
Exploration, delineation and development efforts have increased Saudi 
Aramco's oil initially in place from 600 to 700 billion barrels 
during the past 20 years. Vast unexplored acreage exists in the Rub' 
al Khali desert region, the northern basin (along the border with 
Iraq) and the offshore Red Sea Basin. US Geological Survey 2000 
projections point to additional recoverable oil resources ranging 
from 29 to 161 billion barrels to be discovered in Saudi Arabia by 
2025. The Company projects its oil initially in place volume to reach 
900 billion barrels by the same date.

Reservoir Development and Management Practices:

The stewardship of Saudi Arabia's hydrocarbon reserves is Saudi 
Aramco's paramount objective. The Company develops and manages its 
rich portfolio of hydrocarbon reserves, employing state-of-the-art 
technological resources, best-in-class reservoir management practices 
and a world-class professional workforce. The emphasis is on 
long-term production sustainability and maximum recovery.

Sophisticated diagnostic capabilities (empowered by 
numerically-intensive computational models) and comprehensive 
reservoir surveillance programs are two key enablers assuring high 
accuracy field production forecasts, superior operational efficiency 
and optimal reservoir development strategies.

Synopsis:

Saudi Aramco's proved oil reserves of 260 billion barrels, represents 
a conservative figure, by established industry (SPE/WPC/AAPG) 
standards. Significant upward potential for reserves additions 
exists. Oil-focused exploration and delineation efforts, application 
of EOR processes and continual emphasis on existing and future 
technologies - custom-fit to the Company's reservoir portfolio - will 
certainly engender a major expansion in Saudi Aramco's reserves base 
in the decades ahead, commensurate with global market conditions and 
requirements.

The Company is committed to maintaining its pre-eminent role as a 
reliable, cost-effective and environmentally friendly global oil 
supplier. If called upon, sustained daily crude production levels of 
10, 12 and 15 million barrels per day can be readily maintained 
through 2054 and beyond. Saudi Aramco has the financial, 
organizational and technical capabilities to do so.



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