>Did everyone else catch that the title to Monbiot's article 
>references Dr. Strangelove, and I'm just finally getting it?  Was 
>the article a satire, or what?

Monbiot didn't write the headline, it was written by a sub-editor. I 
think that's probably something worth knowing: reporters, columnists 
and so on do not write the headlines on top of their stories, editors 
do that.

No, it wasn't a satire.

Best

Keith


>Maybe I'm a little slow...
>
>George Page
>www.seabreezefarm.net
>Vashon Island, WA USA
>
>On Mar 31, 2011, at 4:18 AM, Dawie Coetzee wrote:
>
>>  At last.
>>
>>  When terms like "projected energy demand" are bandied about the implication,
>>  conveniently for those doing the bandying, is that it is a phenomenon that
>>  arises spontaneously from historical necessity, i.e. something that just
>>  happens. The more people see it this way, the better for those 
>>wishing to push
>>  for this or that means of generating lots and lots of electricity. 
>>To argue for
>>  producing a little bit of electricity here and a little bit of electricity
>>  there, not to mention a bit of direct heat here and a bit of 
>>direct mechanical
>>  rotation there, requires understanding that "projected energy demand" is
>>  something subject to analysis and comprehension: that it has causes and
>>  mechanisms, and that it happens as it does only under certain 
>>circumstances. The
>>  first thing that becomes clear is that the projection is contingent on the
>>  current system of production being maintained; but there are a few 
>>things about
>>  that system that are not widely understood.
>>
>>  Firstly, it embodies a very high degree of what the 
>>Austrian-school economists
>>  call "roundaboutness"; that is, the production of final-consumer goods
>>  represents a relatively small percentage of total production, the rest being
>>  production of goods necessary for producing (... goods necessary 
>>for producing
>>  ...) final-consumer goods. The more stages can be inserted, say 
>>the Austrians,
>>  the stronger the economy. I should however like to suggest that one of the
>>  greatest needs at the moment is eliminating as much roundaboutness 
>>as possible.
>>
>>  Secondly, the current system of production requires that critical threshold
>>  levels of production be maintained, and those levels are quite high indeed.
>>  Techniques are chosen precisely for their high critical threshold production
>>  levels, as those not only increase profitability but also the scale of
>>  profitability, i.e. the entire deal gets bigger, billions rather 
>>than millions;
>>  and simultaneously tend to oligarchize industry by eliminating 
>>competitors not
>>  capable of such dizzying heights - and an oligarchy can collude 
>>imperceptibly,
>>  by nods and winks, as it were, without any conspiracy to expose. 
>>It should be
>>  obvious that the greatest danger to this is precisely the threat 
>>of a multitude
>>  of small operations working at far lower critical thresholds, and 
>>therefore very
>>  sophisticated action is taken to eliminate that possibility. My 
>>position here is
>>  that one should take care not unwittingly to become part of that 
>>sophisticated
>>  action, but that everything possible be done to see the lowest 
>>possible critical
>>  threshold level of production in use.
>>
>>  Of course these two are interrelated, as demand for product A depends on the
>  > production volume of products B and C; so there is roundaboutness 
>in consumption
>>  as well as in production.
>>
>>  What stands out in all this is that the "greed" of individual consumers, and
>>  their receptiveness to bright trinkets, is neither here nor there, except
>>  insofar as these are manipulated to keep the production levels up. There is
>>  something I would bet a lot of us are feeling and none of us is saying, so I
>>  shall say it. It is not so much the possibility of discomfort we fear in a
>>  different economic scenario as that it might be unbearably dull 
>>and boring; that
>>  solving the problem means giving up all the neat-o stuff that gets 
>>our pulses
>  > racing. I do not believe that this is necessarily so.
>>
>>  The problem with the current system is that there is too much production per
>>  person-unit of creativity - as if there could ever be such a thing 
>>as a unit of
>>  creativity. There is too much stuff made for each bright idea of 
>>each designer.
>>  Stated conversely, there aren't enough bright ideas from enough 
>>designers for
>>  the amount of stuff that is made. In other words, it really is 
>>unbearably dull
>>  and boring at the moment. Almost all the neat-o-ness there currently is is
>>  outside the mainstream.
>>
>>  For every (mainstream) product one consumes, there is a whole knot of other
>>  production that goes with it due to the structure of 
>>conditionality set up by
>>  the system described above. It is that extra production which needs to be
>>  eliminated. You are only concerned with the product you actually 
>>use; you should
>>  not be made to be responsible for all the extra production.
>>
>>  So, one can go as far as to say that the continued and expanded 
>>use of nuclear
>>  energy will make it possible to establish even higher critical threshold
>>  production levels of even more absolutely interdependent complexes of goods,
>>  resulting in even more repetition and boredom; and an even 
>>stricter clamp-down
>>  on the out-of-mainstream activities that generate the excitement, 
>>lest the whole
>>  thing collapse and industry be left with its collective finger in 
>>a place best
>>  not described.
>>
>>  Productivity is a near synonym for "the wheels of the economy" and to most
>>  perceptions the sine-qua-non for economic health. E F Schumacher 
>>was one of the
>>  very few economists to be so bold as to propose a LESS productive 
>>economy, and I
>>  believe he was right. And a less productive economy is one that not only
>>  requires less energy, but one that is better equipped to make use 
>>of a diversity
>>  of sources of energy.
>>
>>  On a more particular note, Robert, you mentioned steel and aluminium in a
>>  subsequent post. Each has its place. There are jobs for which 
>>aluminium is not
>>  the right material, usually because of its fatigue stress properties; but
>>  aluminium alloys are supremely recyclable on a small scale, being 
>>smeltable at
>>  temperatures attainable by normal people, with very little loss of 
>>material or
>>  deterioration of the alloy. Home casting of aluminium is an activity that is
>>  growing in popularity - try a search - and quite commendable, I 
>>say. Few home
>>  founders have the stomach for the temperatures required to smelt steels, but
>>  some brave it.
>>
>>  That said, production of aluminium from ore is extremely energy-intensive,
>>  moreso than steel even. However, both cases are of the very few 
>>situations where
>>  it makes sense to use electricity for generating heat. But if one 
>>considers only
>>  the aluminium things one actually uses oneself, and then only the 
>>things that
>>  really want to be made of aluminium, there is probably enough 
>>scrap aluminium
>>  lying around for everyone.
>>
>>  What I object to is the use of aluminium for purposes where its greatest
>>  advantage is that you can load more of it on the truck that brings it from a
>>  central point than you could another material, rather than any 
>>property it has
>>  in its final use. In most such cases the other material is wood, 
>>and the purpose
>>  is building. I really don't like aluminium is buildings. Aluminium 
>>is something
>>  you use for its lightness, and buildings ought to be heavy ...
>  >
>>  Regards
>>
>>  Dawie Coetzee
>>
>>
>>
>>  ________________________________
>>  From: robert and benita rabello <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
>>  To: sustainablelorgbiofuel@sustainablelists.org
>>  Sent: Fri, 25 March, 2011 21:01:00
>>  Subject: Re: [Biofuel] Why Fukushima made me stop worrying and love nuclear
>>  power (George Monbiot)
>>
>>  On 3/25/2011 10:38 AM, Dawie Coetzee wrote:
>>>  I fear that, despite Keith's occasional promptings to the contrary, I still
>>  had
>>>  no great love for George Monbiot anyway. The latest merely 
>>>confirms my earlier
>>>  misgivings.
>>>
>>>  My own position, in which the Green is rather overshadowed by the Black,
>>>  represents one of the few angles from which George's cloven hoof is really
>  >> visible. To me he has always been far too much the 
>eco-authoritarian, for whom
>>>  ecological survival could never really, thoroughly, consummately 
>>>co-exist with
>>>  personal liberty. His localism seems thin and superficial, his 
>>>centralism runs
>>>  much deeper.
>>>
>>>  An appreciation for obscure local apple cultivars gave George Monbiot a
>>  chance.
>>>  He has blown it now.
>>
>>      Ok, it's one thing to dismiss the article offhand because it
>>  doesn't harmonize with the overall theme of local energy and food
>>  production, but I would like to ask the list what I believe is an
>>  important question.  Mr. Monibot mentioned that pre-industrial England
>>  did not support a very comfortable lifestyle for most of its
>>  inhabitants, and that full reliance on solar, wind and biomass would
>>  move English society backward without nuclear power.  Does it follow
>>  that a reduction in energy use and reliance on renewables would
>>  necessarily result in massive declines in both industrial output and
>>  citizen comfort?  (I'm also thinking of that article Keith posted a few
>>  weeks ago, in which analysis of coal consumption in Industrial
>>  Revolution England actually INCREASED with improvements in efficiency.) 
>>  Can we support large populations in the industrialized nations without
>>  fossil and nuclear power?
>>
>>      I can envision a personal lifestyle in which my energy needs are
>>  significantly reduced, and I think we--as a society--could make
>>  substantial progress in better fitting solar energy to demand.  (Using
>>  solar thermal air conditioning is a good example.)  But someone still
>>  needs to make appliances and sundries.  The equipment to convert diffuse
>>  energy into electricity and heat must be manufactured, somehow.  Where
>>  is the energy going to come from for these activities?  How can we work
>>  with metals, and perform other energy-intensive tasks, without massive
>>  power plants?
>>
>>        Or, is Mr. Monibot's "either / or" scenario completely off base
>>  altogether?
>>
>>      When I hear talk of "energy independence," it's usually in the
>>  context of substituting one form of energy for another, or blind
>>  insistence that the environment matters less than our need for energy
>>  and we should "drill and dig" with renewed vigor.  I don't hear a lot of
>>  willingness to re-organize our cities, invest in public transit and move
>>  away from factory farms.  Our current economic model enjoys an almost
>>  mystical reverence, and none of its underlying assumptions can be
>>  challenged without accusations of "socialism" (or worse) being flung
>>  about.  But even IF we could come up with a new form of economic policy,
>>  where is the dense energy for manufacturing going to come from?  It's
>>  clear that we'll need to keep on building things, so HOW can that happen?
>>
>  > robert luis rabello


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