On Thu, Jul 22, 2010 at 11:07 AM, Jason Cunningham <[email protected]
> wrote:

> Thanks for taking the time to do this.
>
> Having read this a I've decided its about time I read up on licence issue!
> I guess that the potential loss of a lot of data could be a reason for some
> people voting against the changes
>

There''s also signs that the project is starting to splinter. Experimental
forks are beginning to appear...






>
> Jason
>
>
> On 22 July 2010 10:34, TimSC <[email protected]> wrote:
>
>> Hi all,
>>
>> To try to get a feeling for the potential consequences of relicensing, I
>> have been doing analysis of edits in the UK and how contributors have voted
>> on the doodle poll. I feel that we should look before we leap, regarding the
>> possible impact of people who refuse to relicense. I wondered how many
>> nodes, ways and relations would be transitioned in relicensing. I used the
>> crude assumption that each object has only one editor, which would
>> underestimate the impact of refuser contributions. I requested the biggest
>> contributors to vote on the doodle poll to improve the turn out. Although I
>> only have votes for 1% of individual UK contributors, doodle now has a 24%
>> turn out when weighted by mapping contribution size. A few mappers account
>> for a large proportion of UK data. Previously, I did not notice how many
>> mappers had just done a few small changes: the median number of nodes
>> contributed is only 10! I also have not considered the response rate once
>> OSMF pitch the question to contributors, and what happens if the OS data
>> cannot be relicensed.
>>
>> I want to next give my excuses for not publishing the raw statistics. Even
>> with 24% turn out (by contribution size), the are a few non-committal large
>> contributors (e.g. me and a few others). Unless the turn out rate is higher,
>> the stats can be twisted depending on the mood I am in. But there is a
>> pattern emerging. The overall UK picture seems to be fairly bright for
>> minimal data loss. Every big contributor I contact votes "yes" to
>> relicencing (with or without reservations). I estimate an overall data loss
>> of 5% to 17% for the UK (ignoring the effect of objects with multiple
>> editors).
>>
>> The main exception to this is a small cluster of refusers around London.
>> (I am not just talking about myself here.) The worst case scenario is 50%
>> data loss in the Greater London area but, really, I don't know how it would
>> play out. Because of the density of mapping, there is more likely to be
>> multiple editors in this area too. Basically, it's a wild card. But I would
>> be surprised if there are big problems outside the London/SE area. Unless of
>> course 5% is a big problem - I am not too sure how much work it would take
>> to patch up omissions, even assuming a relatively smooth transition.
>>
>> Anyway, I never was much good at statistics! I just wanted to circulate
>> something, after many contributors were kind enough to honour my request and
>> vote on doodle.
>>
>> TimSC
>>
>>
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