Oh my goodness, it is a scary thought, but a lot of it might be true. Thanks for sharing! Veronica
-----Original Message----- From: Talk [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Curtis Delzer via Talk Sent: Friday, May 20, 2016 10:25 AM To: Nick Sarames; Window-Eyes Discussion List Subject: Re: Searching from the start menu will now only launch Edge for web results I can't help but send this message here. It is . . . something, but does resonate with this topic. Read and throw away, or ponder it, or store it away, but it is, fascinating nonetheless. *Welcome to the exponential age!* In 1998, Kodak had 170,000 employees and sold 85% of all photo paper worldwide. Within just a few years, their business model disappeared and they went bankrupt. What happened to Kodak will happen in a lot of industries in the next 10 years - and most people don't see it coming. Did you think in 1998 that 3 years later you would never take pictures on paper film again? Yet digital cameras were invented in 1975. The first ones only had 10,000 pixels, but followed Moore's law. So as with all exponential technologies, it was a disappointment for a long time, before it became way superior and got mainstream in only a few short years. It will now happen with artificial Intelligence, health, autonomous and electric cars, education, 3D printing, agriculture, and jobs. Welcome to the 4th Industrial Revolution - The Exponential Age! Software will disrupt most traditional industries in the next 5-10 years. Uber is just a software tool, they don't own any cars, and are now the biggest taxi company in the world. Airbnb is now the biggest hotel company in the world, although they don't own any properties. Artificial Intelligence: Computers become exponentially better in understanding the world. This year, a computer beat the best player in the world, 10 years earlier than expected. In the US, young lawyers already don't get jobs. Because of IBM's Watson, you can get legal advice (so far for more or less basic stuff) within seconds, with 90% accuracy compared with 70% accuracy when done by humans. So if you study law, stop immediately. There will be 90% less lawyers in the future, only specialists will remain. Watson already helps nurses diagnosing cancer, 4 times more accurate than human nurses. Facebook now has a pattern recognition software that can recognize faces better than humans. In 2030, computers will become more intelligent than humans. Autonomous cars: In 2018 the first self-driving cars will appear for the public. Around 2020, the complete industry will start to be disrupted. You won't want to own a car anymore. You will call a car with your phone, it will show up at your location and drive you to your destination. You will not need to park it, you will only pay for the driven distance and you can be productive while driving. Our kids will never get a driver's license and will never own a car. It will change the cities, because we will need 90-95% less cars for that. We can transform former parking space into parks. 1.2 million people die each year in car accidents worldwide. We now have one accident every 100,000km. With autonomous driving that will drop to one accident in 10 million km. That will save a million lives each year. Most car companies might become bankrupt. Traditional car companies try the evolutionary approach and just build a better car, while tech companies (Tesla, Apple, Google) will do the revolutionary approach and build a computer on wheels. I spoke to a lot of engineers from Volkswagen and Audi; they are completely terrified of Tesla. Insurance companies will have massive trouble because without accidents, the insurance will become 100x cheaper. Their car insurance business model will disappear. Real estate will change. Because if you can work while you commute, people will move further away to live in a more beautiful neighborhood. *Won't need as many garages if fewer people have cars, so living in the city may become more attractive as people like being around other people. That won't change.* Electric cars will become mainstream until 2020. Cities will be less noisy because all cars will run on electric. Electricity will become incredibly cheap and clean: Solar production has been on an exponential curve for 30 years, but you can only now see the impact. Last year, more solar energy was installed worldwide than fossil. The price for solar will drop so much that all coal companies will be out of business by 2025. With cheap electricity comes cheap and abundant water. Desalination now only needs 2kWh per cubic meter. We don't have scarce water in most places, we only have scarce drinking water. Imagine what will be possible if anyone can have as much clean water as he wants, for nearly no cost. Health: The Tricorder X price will be announced this year. There will be companies who will build a medical device (called the "Tricorder" from Star Trek) that works with your phone, which takes your retina scan, you blood sample and you breath into it. It then analyses 54 biomarkers that will identify nearly any disease. It will be cheap, so in a few years everyone on this planet will have access to world class medicine, nearly for free. 3D printing: The price of the cheapest 3D printer came down from $18,000 to $400 within 10 years. In the same time, it became 100 times faster. All major shoe companies started 3D printing shoes. Spare airplane parts are already 3D printed in remote airports. The space station now has a printer that eliminates the need for the large amount of spare parts they used to have in the past. At the end of this year, new smartphones will have 3D scanning possibilities. You can then 3D scan your feet and print your perfect shoe at home. In China, they already 3D printed a complete 6-story office building. By 2027, 10% of everything that's being produced will be 3D printed. Business opportunities: If you think of a niche you want to go in, ask yourself: "in the future, do you think we will have that?" and if the answer is yes, how can you make that happen sooner? If it doesn't work with your phone, forget the idea. And any idea designed for success in the 20th century is doomed to failure in the 21st century. Work: 70-80% of jobs will disappear in the next 20 years. There will be a lot of new jobs, but it is not clear if there will be enough new jobs in such a small time. Agriculture: There will be a $100 agricultural robot in the future. Farmers in 3rd world countries can then become managers of their field instead of working all days on their fields. Aeroponics will need much less water. The first petri dish produced veal is now available and will be cheaper than cow produced veal in 2018. Right now, 30% of all agricultural surfaces is used for cows. Imagine if we don't need that space anymore. There are several startups who will bring insect protein to the market shortly. It contains more protein than meat. It will be labeled as "alternative protein source" (because most people still reject the idea of eating insects). There is an app called "moodies" which can already tell in which mood you are. Until 2020 there will be apps that can tell by your facial expressions if you are lying. Imagine a political debate where it's being displayed when they are telling the truth and when not. Bitcoin will become mainstream this year and might even become the default reserve currency. Longevity: Right now, the average life span increases by 3 months per year. Four years ago, the life span used to be 79 years, now it's 80 years. The increase itself is increasing and by 2036, there will be more than one year increase per year. So we all might live for a long, long time, probably way more than 100 years. (not old bill I'm afraid) *The world has always had an overpopulation problem within recent history, and all this will make it worse. Technology may grow by leaps and bounds, but human enculturation will not. We will have the same political greed for power and control, others kicking back, and wars will continue. The new technology will be evident in the tools of war, and the death rate could be staggering. Continued overpopulation will make cemeteries unpopular and there will be a push to replace them with something that does not take up space. Or continuing rent will need be paid to stay there. * Education: The cheapest smartphones are already at $10 in Africa and Asia. Until 2020, 70% of all humans will own a smartphone. That means, everyone has the same access to world class education. Every child can use Khan academy for everything a child learns at school in First World countries. We have already released our software in Indonesia and will release it in Arabic, Swahili and Chinese this Summer, because I see an enormous potential. We will give the English app for free, so that children in Africa can become fluent in English within half a year. If you are reading this because I sent it to you, I would like to know your thoughts. In any case, I hope you found this as interesting as I did. One more thought... However you feel after reading this, remember: God will always love you! J old bill -- Remember, God loves you - He loves you very much! -- Curtis Delzer <[email protected]> On Fri, 20 May 2016 00:56:45 -0400 Nick Sarames via Talk <[email protected]> wrote: > Not strange at all. From the beginning of man's existance, he has tried to > manipulate his environment to suit his wants and needs. Man will continue to > "progress" regardless of what each individual does. Maybe in 20 years, the > internet as we know it, won't exist. > > On 5/20/2016 12:46 AM, Butch Bussen wrote: > > Strange comparison. Well, same old same old. Just because some folks > > love their i phones, they think it is the answer for every one. I don't > > think my car would go very far if I replaced its wheels with i phones. > > 73 > > Butch > > WA0VJR > > Node 3148 > > Wallace, ks. > > > > > > On Thu, 19 May 2016, Nick Sarames wrote: > > > >> This applies to everyone. It's how we got from the wheel to the iPhone. > >> > >> On 5/19/2016 11:22 PM, Butch Bussen via Talk wrote: > >>> Yep, and no matter what they come out with, we're told, upgrade, > >>> upgrade, this is better. I still miss mouse keys in explorer. I was > >>> trying to order some stuff on amazon this evening and couldn't get > >>> logged in, this was on a windows seven machine and latest explorer. I > >>> finally went back to my xp and old explorer and although it barked > >>> at me > >>> about some script slowing the page down, it worked fine. Got to keep > >>> drinking that ms cool aid. > >>> 73 > >>> Butch > >>> WA0VJR > >>> Node 3148 > >>> Wallace, ks. > >>> > >>> > >>> On Thu, 19 May 2016, Stephen Clark via Talk wrote: > >>> > >>> > Well, old man, some of us aren't as old as you and if you think > >>> really > >>> > really hard, maybe you can figure this one out as well. Some of us > >>> > actually work for a living. This means not every one can just go > >>> > installing whatever browser we want on our machine. I'm sure you > >>> never > >>> > thought about that either while you're sitting there collecting your > >>> > government checks. I realize you are not a forward thinker, but some > >>> > people can actually see the direction MS is headed. They can and most > >>> > certainly will force you to use whatever they damn well please. > >>> Not to > >>> > mention all the many apps coming out that are using the Edge browser > >>> > with no way to change it. > >>> > > > Now go back to sticking that big head of yours in the sand. > >>> > > > On 5/18/2016 10:31 PM, Tom Kingston wrote: > >>> > > Yes, in fact, Jack, I have done a lot of research. It's why I'm not > >>> > > having > >>> > > a coronary over Edge. What will come in the future means > >>> absolutely > >>> > > nothing today. Take that to the bank and deposit it. You may > >>> get some > >>> > > interest on it. Then again, why bother? After all we will all die > >>> > > one day. > >>> > > And that's a fact. Oh but wait! There is Firefox and chrome. > >>> And I > > hear > >>> > > those browsers are eternal. Maybe they're the Stairway to Heaven > >>> > > Zeppelin > >>> > > was referring to. > >>> > > > > John Bonham > >>> > > > > On 5/18/2016 9:34 PM, Stephen Clark via Talk wrote: > >>> > > > You're entitled to your own opinion, but have you done any > >>> actual > >>> > > > research to find out what's really going on in the world? For > >>> > > example, > >>> > > > Win10 is the last version that will have Internet Explorer. > >>> That's > > > a > >>> > > > fact, jack. Look it up if you don't believe me. > >>> > > > > > On 5/18/2016 5:11 PM, Tom Kingston wrote: > >>> > > > > This is just my personal opinion. So take it for what it's > >>> worth. > >>> > > > > > > Edge accessibility will come. Microsoft is not going to > >>> > > force us to > >>> > > > > use only Edge as someone on this list likes to say. > >>> > > > > > > Regarding searching from the Cortana search box? Yes, that > >>> > > is tied to > >>> > > > > Edge now. But for me, so what. My browser is pinned to the > >>> Task > > > > bar > >>> > > > > and my home page is Google. So when I press Windows+1 IE > >>> opens, > >>> > > Google > >>> > > > > loads, I'm in the search box, and browse mode toggles off. > >>> So I > >>> > > press > >>> > > > > one key combination, type my text, hit enter, and I've got my > >>> > > results > >>> > > > > without anything else in my start menu or on my system. > >>> Yes, it > > > > may > >>> > > > > take me a second or two longer. but on the other hand, I can > >>> > > activate > >>> > > > > a link and then hit Alt-Left arrow to go back to the search > >>> > > results. I > >>> > > > > don't know why this fly is turning into a vulture that's > >>> > > threatening > >>> > > > > civilization as we know it. ;) > >>> > > > > > > Regards, > >>> > > > > Tom > >>> > > > > > > > > On 5/18/2016 2:33 PM, Stephen Clark via Talk wrote: > >>> > > > > > Since I only use Win-eyes for now I wouldn't know about > >>> other > >>> > > screen > >>> > > > > > readers. However, my original message is not to be > >>> critical of > >>> > > > > > Win-eyes. > >>> > > > > > It's more out of frustration as to the direction that MS is > >>> > > going > > > with > >>> > > > > > Edge and if accessibility is not provided to it soon > >>> with in > >>> > > the > > > near > >>> > > > > > future I feel we'll be left behind. > >>> > > > > > > > > On 5/18/2016 1:23 PM, Kevin Huber wrote: > >>> > > > > > > Hi Stephen: > >>> > > > > > > > > > > I understand what you are saying and I totally > >>> agree > >>> > > with you, but > > > > I > >>> > > > > > > have one question. > >>> > > > > > > Do any of the other screen readers have Edge > >>> accessibility > >>> > > built > > > > into > >>> > > > > > > them? > >>> > > > > > > Kevin Huber > >>> > > > > > > > > > > On 5/17/16, Stephen Clark via Talk > >>> > > <[email protected]> > > > > wrote: > >>> > > > > > > > Speaking of Windows 10 and the need for Window-eyes > >>> > > support for > > > > > Edge, > >>> > > > > > > > has any one noticed the following recent change? When > >>> you > >>> > > do a > > > > > search > >>> > > > > > > > from the start menu and you press enter to search the > >>> web > >>> > > for > > > > > your > >>> > > > > > > > result, it will now only bring up Edge regardless of > >>> what > >>> > > your > > > > > default > >>> > > > > > > > web browser is. As far as I'm aware there is no way to > >>> > > change > > > > > this > >>> > > > > > > > behavior. > >>> > > > > > > > > > > > > ==Steve > >>> > > > > > > > _______________________________________________ > >>> > > > > > > > Any views or opinions presented in this email are solely > >>> > > those > > > > > of the > >>> > > > > > > > author > >>> > > > > > > > and do not necessarily represent those of Ai Squared. > >>> > > > > > > > > > > > > For membership options, visit > >>> > > > > > > > > > > >>> http://lists.window-eyes.com/options.cgi/talk-window-eyes.com/huber.kevin7%40gmail.com. > >>> > >>> > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > For subscription > >>> options, > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > visit > >>> > > > > > > > > > > >>> http://lists.window-eyes.com/listinfo.cgi/talk-window-eyes.com > >>> > > > > > > > List archives can be found at > >>> > > > > > > > > >>> http://lists.window-eyes.com/private.cgi/talk-window-eyes.com > >>> > > > > > > > > > > > > > > >>> _______________________________________________ > >>> > > > > > Any views or opinions presented in this email are solely > >>> those > >>> > > of > > > the > >>> > > > > > author and do not necessarily represent those of Ai Squared. > >>> > > > > > > > > For membership options, visit > >>> > > > > > > > > >>> http://lists.window-eyes.com/options.cgi/talk-window-eyes.com/tom.kingston%40charter.net. > >>> > >>> > > > > > > > > > > > > > > For subscription options, visit > >>> > > > > > > >>> http://lists.window-eyes.com/listinfo.cgi/talk-window-eyes.com > >>> > > > > > List archives can be found at > >>> > > > > > > >>> http://lists.window-eyes.com/private.cgi/talk-window-eyes.com > >>> > > > > > > > > > _______________________________________________ > >>> > > > Any views or opinions presented in this email are solely > >>> those of > > > the > >>> > > > author and do not necessarily represent those of Ai Squared. > >>> > > > > For membership options, visit > >>> > > > > > > >>> http://lists.window-eyes.com/options.cgi/talk-window-eyes.com/tom.kingston%40charter.net. > >>> > >>> > > > > > For subscription options, visit > >>> > > > http://lists.window-eyes.com/listinfo.cgi/talk-window-eyes.com > >>> > > > List archives can be found at > >>> > > > http://lists.window-eyes.com/private.cgi/talk-window-eyes.com > >>> > > > > > _______________________________________________ > >>> > Any views or opinions presented in this email are solely those of the > >>> > author and do not necessarily represent those of Ai Squared. > >>> > > For membership options, visit > >>> > > >>> http://lists.window-eyes.com/options.cgi/talk-window-eyes.com/butchb%40shellworld.net. > >>> > >>> > > For subscription options, visit > >>> > http://lists.window-eyes.com/listinfo.cgi/talk-window-eyes.com > >>> > List archives can be found at > >>> > http://lists.window-eyes.com/private.cgi/talk-window-eyes.com > >>> > > > > >>> _______________________________________________ > >>> Any views or opinions presented in this email are solely those of the > >>> author and do not necessarily represent those of Ai Squared. > >>> > >>> For membership options, visit > >>> > >>> http://lists.window-eyes.com/options.cgi/talk-window-eyes.com/nicksarames%40msn.com. > >>> > >>> > >>> For subscription options, visit > >>> http://lists.window-eyes.com/listinfo.cgi/talk-window-eyes.com > >>> List archives can be found at > >>> http://lists.window-eyes.com/private.cgi/talk-window-eyes.com > >>> > >>> > >> > >> > > > > > _______________________________________________ > Any views or opinions presented in this email are solely those of the author > and do not necessarily represent those of Ai Squared. > > For membership options, visit > http://lists.window-eyes.com/options.cgi/talk-window-eyes.com/curtis1014%40verizon.net. > For subscription options, visit > http://lists.window-eyes.com/listinfo.cgi/talk-window-eyes.com > List archives can be found at > http://lists.window-eyes.com/private.cgi/talk-window-eyes.com _______________________________________________ Any views or opinions presented in this email are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of Ai Squared. For membership options, visit http://lists.window-eyes.com/options.cgi/talk-window-eyes.com/veronica.smith%40aps.edu. For subscription options, visit http://lists.window-eyes.com/listinfo.cgi/talk-window-eyes.com List archives can be found at http://lists.window-eyes.com/private.cgi/talk-window-eyes.com _______________________________________________ Any views or opinions presented in this email are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of Ai Squared. For membership options, visit http://lists.window-eyes.com/options.cgi/talk-window-eyes.com/archive%40mail-archive.com. For subscription options, visit http://lists.window-eyes.com/listinfo.cgi/talk-window-eyes.com List archives can be found at http://lists.window-eyes.com/private.cgi/talk-window-eyes.com
