>
> The Post-Post Bubble Valley
> New report says Silicon Valley’s economy looking up; affordable   
> housing remains an issue.
> January 31, 2007
> By Alexandra Berzon
> http://www.redherring.com/Article.aspx?a=21055&hed=The+Post- 
> PostBubble+Valley
>
>
>
> Full report at:
> http://www.jointventure.org/publicatons/index/2007%20Index/The% 
> 202007%20Index%20of%20Silicon%20Valley.pdf
>
>
>
> The Silicon Valley is clawing its way back. And this time, observers
> say, the good times could last for a while.
>
> The Valley created 33,000 new jobs between the second quarters of
> 2005 and 2006—a gain of 2.9 percent. That’s the first significant
> employment increase since 2001. The numbers come from a new report on
> the Valley’s economic outlook, to be released Friday by the Joint
> Venture Silicon Valley Network, a non-profit organization funded by
> local governments and businesses.
>
> But with its cheery outlook on the Silicon Valley’s economic picture,
> the new report echoes figures published six years ago when strong
> numbers did little to foretell the fall ahead. But this time around,
> the report’s authors say, it could be different.
>
> The organization has produced the economic outlook index for the
> Valley every year since the mid-90s, and hadn’t had much good news to
> report in a while. Between 2000 and 2005, 220,000 jobs were lost in
> the Valley. “Every year people said, ‘What’s happening to the Valley?
> Have we lost our magic? Are we going to be the next Pittsburgh?’”
> said Silicon Valley Network CEO Russell Hancock.
>
> In retrospect, said Mr. Hancock, the bubble should have been
> apparent. Too much money was being thrown at investments in one area:
> the Internet.
>
> Now, Mr. Hancock said there are some indicators that the growth might
> just stick around for a while. What’s different now is a dispersal of
> investment to different types of high-tech industries including
> online and wireless entertainment companies, wireless infrastructure
> technology, biotechnology, and nanotechnology. An area of emerging
> interest is clean technology, where there was a surge of investment –
> up 266 percent – between 2005 and 2006. “I’m not seeing the hype and
> the prodigious amount of activity,” said Mr. Hancock. “What I’m
> seeing instead feels more thought out.”
>
> The greatest job growth was in the area of software, which saw an
> increase of 4,919 jobs. While Internet companies attracted
> investment, total jobs in that area lagged because so many Web 2.0
> companies operate with small staffs, said Mr. Hancock.
>
> Job losses were felt in computer and communications hardware
> manufacturing, with a decline of 1,253 jobs. At the same time,
> hardware manufacturing wages were up 15 percent, which Mr. Hancock
> said is because the manufacturing jobs that do stay in the Valley are
> increasingly high-skilled.
>
> Those numbers present a clear indication of the increasing influence
> of globalization and outsourcing in the Valley. That, coupled with a
> lack of affordable housing, has meant the Valley becoming a place
> where large companies house their headquarters, while basing nitty-
> gritty operations elsewhere.
>
> The number of affordable housing units built in 2006 was the lowest
> since the survey began, Meanwhile, rental prices rose five percent –
> the first increase since 2002. The number of first-time homebuyers
> able to afford a median-priced home dropped from 44 percent in 2003
> to 26 percent in 2006, roughly in line with California trends.
>
> “What we’re finding in the Silicon Valley is there are lots of start-
> ups, we do that well. And we have established companies that hollow
> out and the headquarters stay here,” said Mr. Hancock. “But what we
> don’t do really well is mid-level company and mid-level employees.
> People get to that point and can’t pay what they need to for the
> housing so they go off to Colorado, and then they hit senior
> management and come back to the Silicon Valley. I’m not sure that’s
> healthy.”
>
> Here’s a sample of other findings from the report:
>
> *Immigration to the Silicon Valley is increasing at a rapid clip.
> Forty-eight percent of the Valley speaks a language other than
> English at home. Over half (55 percent) of the science and
> engineering workers in the Valley in 2005 were born abroad, compared
> to 20 percent in the U.S. as a whole. Across all occupations, 43
> percent of Valley workers were born abroad, compared to 16 percent of
> U.S. workers. Total population in the region went up 1.28 percent
> between 2005 and 2006.
>
> *Six of the top 10 U.S. cities for patent requests in 2005 are
> located in the Silicon Valley. Eleven percent of all U.S. patents
> were issued to Silicon Valley companies.
>
> *Venture capital investment in the Silicon Valley for the the first
> three quarters of the 2006 was $5.2 billion, up from $4.6 billion for
> the same period in 2005. That’s still far below the peak of over $20
> billion for the year in 2000.
>
> *Silicon Valley receives 14 percent of the world’s venture capital,
> roughly comparable to the entire United Kingdom.
>
> *Between 2004 and 2005, the Silicon Valley saw its first median
> household income increase since 2001—up 6.5 percent.
>
>

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