I'm thinking $60 mil. 

Sent from my iPhone

On May 6, 2011, at 8:50 AM, Jason Service <[email protected]> wrote:

> New thread open for the bet Raven suggested!
> 
> On Fri, May 6, 2011 at 7:56 AM, Luke <[email protected]> wrote:
> Maybe I am missing something, but are you suggesting that the LOTR
> trilogy was not successful in it's effects work and that it was
> somehow hurt by that?  People flocked to see the LOTR films multiple
> times in the theater because it was an immersive and fascinating
> world.  Much like Star Wars (I am told; obviously I was not alive yet
> to see that one in the theater let alone multiple times).  And please
> don't misunderstand me, I love the effects in the Original Trilogy,
> but there are flaws there too. As humans we are acclimated to reality
> and something which looks fake will look fake no matter what technique
> is used to create it.  The Death Star Trench sequence holds up as well
> as it does now some... let me count because you folks made fun of me
> for my bad math in an earlier thread... 34 years after the fact
> because the Dykstraflex did its job perfectly, and the ILM model team
> paid attention to the details to the point that those ships WERE real
> as far as the eye is concerned. (Lucas basing the fight on WW2 footage
> helps this as well.)  That the asteroid field in Empire looks like
> garbage is because of the technique being used was not perfected at
> the time and there was no other way to achieve it with the Dykstraflex
> without the traveling matte.  (By comparison, watch The Black Hole,
> which features similar shots of objects moving across each other --
> the use of the ACES camera and the Mattescan device allowed this to be
> smoothly done without the need for the travelling matte from Empire).
> So it stands out because it breaks "reality" in a way the ships or the
> suits or animatronics do not.
> 
> Regarding visual vocabulary, I think my claim is valid.  Afterall,
> this is an age where entertainment media pundits fall all over
> themselves to elevate video games to high art or "true"
> entertainment.  Obviously the rendered, ful CGI style visual image is
> an accepted one for the masses, since video gaming has become not just
> accepted but now mainstream and "hip."
> 
> Folks won't go see Green Lantern multiple times in the theater
> nowadays because of the nature of the Hollywood tentpole cycle.  Like
> you say, Cars 2 is right on it's heels, and more afterwards.  The
> filmgoer today is conditioned to think that what's hot and new this
> week is old next week, because there is something else wihch is now
> hot and new.  It takes something outrageously out of the ordinary to
> break that, and the LOTR films are like that.  This summer, the only
> film I predict will be like that is HP 7.2, just because ITS THE LAST
> ONE DUN DUN DUNNNN! and all that.  The fact that 7.1 was a marked
> improvement over the snoozefests that were 5 and 6 helps, too.
> 
> In any event I am probably going to go see the film.  For one thing I
> would like to see a DC movie in the theater which is not a snoozer
> like Superman Returns nor Super Serious And Important! like Batman
> Begins and The Dark Knight.  Plus my buddy Joe is a huge GL fan (being
> an Air Force brat will do that to you) and obviously he is jazzed for
> it.
> 
> On May 5, 10:06 pm, [email protected] wrote:
> > The snake thing in Conan looks dumb in the same way the Clash of the Titans 
> > trailer was ruined by that fifty-million dollar yawn-monster at the end.  
> > What's around the corner, Perseus, what's making that noise?  
> > It's....it's....COMPUTER MATH.  
> >
> > Fact is, the throne room scene in Flash Gordon (1980) looks more exotic and 
> > exciting than the sweeping video game cut-scene they're calling Oa.  
> > It's possible kids will accept the "visual vocabulary of the present 
> > cinematic age," in the way we, as kids, accepted the skeletons in Jason and 
> > the Argonauts or King Kong, etc, but...I don't think any kids are excited 
> > about this movie.  
> >
> > I mean maybe a few nerdads are pushing them toward it.  
> >
> > Kid: I wanna see Thaw.
> > Nerdad:  What about, Green Lantern, buddy?  Don't you wanna see a guy who 
> > has a ring?
> > Kid: Like...the one you got for mom?  Thaw has a hammaw.  
> > Nerdad: Ha, ha, no no, like the...ok, let's see Thor.
> >
> > Thor has a kajillion effects in it, but....Thor himself looks like a 
> > person.  You can relate to him.  I think a "glow" or something around a 
> > real costume would have gotten across the idea of the ring generating 
> > clothing.  Maybe it's an "uncanny valley" issue.  Like Shag articulated, 
> > its not that the effects look baaaad, it's that the whole thing is effects. 
> >  Like with Lord of the Rings, I guess, the idea is people will buy the DVD 
> > and pause every few seconds so they can jizz over all the detailed design 
> > work at whichever speed they jizz at, but...that aint gonna help opening 
> > weekend.
> 
> > As you point out, Luke, people complained about the effects in SW (though 
> > isn't there something about it looking different on tv than on the big 
> > screen?  Like, those yellow squares around the TIE Fighters were a tv 
> > thing?  Someone?), but...people saw SW in the theater and continued to see 
> > it and talk about it.  No one will see Green Lantern.  Bomb ahoy.
> >
> > Should we have another bet thing like with Watchmen and Scott Pilgrim?
> >
> > I say it gets crushed by....Mr. Popper's Penguins!!!  You down with MPP?!!
> >
> > That trailer, btw, was cut by amateurs.  It looks teerrrrrible!  And 
> > yet....it will kiiiilll Green Lantern!!  Then, GL will be buried by Cars 2 
> > the following week to disappear forever!  Sinestro wins!
> >
> >
> >
> > -----Original Message-----
> > From: Luke <[email protected]>
> > To: The Unique Geek <[email protected]>
> > Sent: Thu, May 5, 2011 3:45 am
> > Subject: [The Unique Geek] Re: New Green Lantern trailer shows off the 
> > Guardians of the Universe - io9
> >
> > I'm more disappointed by the CGI monster in the new Conan trailer than
> > any of the CGI in the Green Lantern trailers, frankly.  That's the
> > visual vocabulary of the present cinematic age.
> >
> > You want an eye opener?  Go read some contemporary genre magazines
> > when Empire or Jedi came out.  Cinefantastique especially lambastes
> > some of ILM's work.  We idealize these physical effects in our minds,
> > but I still cringe everytime I watch the original version of Empire
> > with the God awful travelling mattes in the asteroid field.  Even as
> > late as 89 (Last Crusade) its pretty easy to spot complaining
> > criticism of ILM's work.  So not liking special effects and thinking
> > things look "fake" is a time honored nerd tradition.
> >
> > On May 5, 10:05 am, Edward Crosby <[email protected]> wrote:
> > > Again, I have no problem with the CGI costume, I think it looks fine. 
> > > And, I
> > > think it does look like it could exist in the real world. Remember, the 
> > > GL's
> > > costume in the comic books, for the most part, is energy constructed by 
> > > that
> > > GL. I can imagine the costume having that glow in the real world.
> >
> > > ----------------------------------------
> > > Have a Better One,
> > > Edward Crosbyhttp://about.me/edwardcrosby
> >
> > > On Thu, May 5, 2011 at 9:55 AM, <[email protected]> wrote:
> > > > For me it's not a case that the CGI looks bad, it's the sheer volume of
> > > > CGI.  In some shots there is simply too much going on (all done by CGI).
> > > > For example, in Revenge of the Sith, the space battle featured too many
> > > > things going on (all done by CGI).  So while the battle was more massive
> > > > than the space battle in Return of the Jedi, there was just too much to
> > > > see.  The space battle in Revenge of the Sith is less exciting than the
> > > > Return of the Jedi battle for that reason.
> >
> > > > In regard to the Green Lantern costume, the choice to go with CGI is
> > > > disappointing.  It makes the costume harder to believe it's real.  It 
> > > > just
> > > > doesn't look like it could exist in the real world.  A simpler 
> > > > real-world
> > > > costume with a CGI aura might have worked better.
> >
> > > > Just my two cents.
> >
> > > > The Irredeemable Shag
> > > >http://firestormfan.com
> > > >http://onceuponageek.com
> > > >http://twitter.com/onceuponageek
> >
> > > >  -------- Original Message --------
> > > > Subject: Re: [The Unique Geek] Re: New Green Lantern trailer shows off
> > > > the Guardians of the Universe - io9
> > > > From: Edward Crosby <[email protected]>
> > > > Date: Thu, May 05, 2011 9:47 am
> > > > To: [email protected]
> >
> > > > Yeah, I am confused why people keep stating that the CG looks bad
> > > > (Ravenface and other TUG members). As compared to what? Avatar? Sure. 
> > > > Tron
> > > > Legacy? Absolutely. Sucker Punch? Maybe. Iron Man 2? No way.
> > > > Widge made a really good point on the last recorded TUG podcast 
> > > > recording
> > > > and I agree with him. He stated, and I'm paraphrasing, that we all have 
> > > > such
> > > > a high standard of CG these days that if something comes along that 
> > > > meets or
> > > > doesn't exceed the bar then we turn our heads in disgust. From what I 
> > > > have
> > > > seen, the CG in this movie is by far some of the best we have seen in
> > > > today's live action movies. I think another reason we turn our heads in
> > > > disgust of the CG in this movie is because there is so much of it. But 
> > > > there
> > > > has to be as this is a Green Lantern movie set mostly in a fictional 
> > > > world
> > > > and fictional universe that has to be pulled out of one of the most 
> > > > extreme
> > > > mediums that is the comic book. There is no way this movie could have 
> > > > been
> > > > done well with all the CG needed five years ago.
> > > > I'm not making any judgement about this movie now, if I can help it. At
> > > > first, yes, I judged the teaser trailer and cringed. Recent trailers 
> > > > give me
> > > > more hope that this may be an entertaining movie. I know it will not be 
> > > > a
> > > > blockbuster movie but I will reserve judgement of whether it is good or 
> > > > not
> > > > after I have seen it when I see it opening weekend.
> >
> > > > ----------------------------------------
> > > > Have a Better One,
> > > > Edward Crosby
> > > >http://about.me/edwardcrosby
> >
> > > >   --
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