Hi

As shown in following example, significant omnibus and nonsignificant Tukeys is 
not strictly speaking a simple product of small sample size (the 4 groups below 
each have 90 subjects).  It also depends on magnitude of difference relative to 
variation within groups (MSE) and the specific pattern of the difference.  
Below, groups 1 and 2 are different than groups 3 and 4 IN THE POPULATION.  
Although maximum difference is almost significant by Tukey (p = .055) that 
really does not capture the pattern in the data, as shown by the subsequent 
contrast analysis.  The contrast between 1&2 vs 3&4 is highly significant (p = 
.008).  The lesson, analyses for predicted patterns in data are more sensitive 
than omnibus or post hoc analyses (as long as the predicted pattern is in fact 
observed in the data, of course).

Rick should post a description of the conditions for the factor (WITHOUT MEANS) 
to see if we could agree on a predicted pattern that could be tested by a 
single df contrast.

Take care
Jim

set seed = 435678234.
input program.
loop o = 1 to 360.
end case.
end loop.
end file.
end input program.
comp group = trunc((o-1)/90)+1.
comp dep = rnd(rv.norm(50,10.5)).
if group > 2 dep = dep + 5.
glm dep by group /posthoc = group(tukey).

Tests of Between-Subjects Effects
Dependent Variable: dep 
 Source          Type III Sum of df  Mean Square F        Sig. 
                 Squares                                       
 Corrected Model 1027.744(a)     3   342.581     2.687    .046 
 Intercept       990360.900      1   990360.900  7767.647 .000 
 group           1027.744        3   342.581     2.687    .046 
 Error           45389.356       356 127.498                   
 Total           1036778.000     360                           
 Corrected Total 46417.100       359                           

a R Squared = .022 (Adjusted R Squared = .014)

Post Hoc Tests
  
group
  
Multiple Comparisons
Dependent Variable: dep 
Tukey HSD 
 (I)   (J)   Mean Difference Std.     Sig. 95% Confidence Interval     
 group group (I-J)           Error         Lower Bound     Upper Bound 
 1.000 2.000 -1.43333        1.683239 .830 -5.77812        2.91145     
       3.000 -4.27778        1.683239 .055 -8.62256        .06701      
       4.000 -3.51111        1.683239 .160 -7.85590        .83368      
 2.000 3.000 -2.84444        1.683239 .331 -7.18923        1.50034     
       4.000 -2.07778        1.683239 .605 -6.42256        2.26701     
 3.000 4.000 .76667          1.683239 .969 -3.57812        5.11145     

Homogeneous Subsets
Tukey HSD 
 group N  Subset   
          1        
 1.000 90 50.14444 
 2.000 90 51.57778 
 4.000 90 53.65556 
 3.000 90 54.42222 

 Sig.     .055     

glm dep by group /contr(group) = spec(-1 -1 1 1  -1 1 0 0  0 0 -1 1).

 Source          Type III Sum of df  Mean Square F        Sig. 
                 Squares                                       
 Corrected Model 1027.744(a)     3   342.581     2.687    .046 
 Intercept       990360.900      1   990360.900  7767.647 .000 
 group           1027.744        3   342.581     2.687    .046 
 Error           45389.356       356 127.498                   
 Total           1036778.000     360                           

 Corrected Total 46417.100       359                           

Custom Hypothesis Tests
 group Special                             Dependent       
 Contrast                                  Variable        
                                           dep             
 L1            Contrast Estimate           6.356           
               Std. Error                  2.380           
               Sig.                        .008            
 L2            Contrast Estimate           1.433           
               Std. Error                  1.683           
               Sig.                        .395            
 L3            Contrast Estimate           -.767           
               Std. Error                  1.683           
               Sig.                        .649            



James M. Clark
Professor of Psychology
204-786-9757
204-774-4134 Fax
[EMAIL PROTECTED]

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