And, of course, we would also have to say that the evidence of beneficial 
effects of a drink a day on the heart also come from correlational, 
epidemiological studies, not human experimentation.

Rick

Dr. Rick Froman, Chair
Division of Humanities and Social Sciences
Professor of Psychology
Box 3055
John Brown University
2000 W. University Siloam Springs, AR  72761
[email protected]
(479)524-7295
http://tinyurl.com/DrFroman

"That we are in the midst of crisis is now well understood....Homes have been 
lost; jobs shed; businesses shuttered. Our health care is too costly; our 
schools fail too many; and each day brings further evidence that the ways we 
use energy strengthen our adversaries and threaten our planet. These are the 
indicators of crisis, subject to data and statistics. Less measurable but no 
less profound is a sapping of confidence across our land - a nagging fear that 
America's decline is inevitable, and that the next generation must lower its 
sights."
Barack Obama, Inaugural Address, January 20, 2009


-----Original Message-----
From: Shearon, Tim [mailto:[email protected]]
Sent: Thursday, February 26, 2009 2:56 PM
To: Teaching in the Psychological Sciences (TIPS)
Subject: RE: [tips] BBC NEWS | Health | Drink a day increases cancer risk

Marc-
While I agree with you for the most part, I still think saying smoking
*causes* cancer is a bit problematic given that there are also huge
numbers (large # of data points!) of folks who do smoke and do not get
cancer. Perhaps I don't know the data as well but it seems to allow for
a genetic predisposition toward cancer, with smoking contributing or
triggering, as much as it allows an explanation that smoking causes
cancer unless you have a genetic predisposition to prevent the insult
from causing cancer.

Perhaps I'm being a bit persnickety but I tell my students that the term
*cause* should be reserved for cases where there is experimental
evidence. So saying "nicotine in specific high doses causes cancer in
mice" is acceptable to me but saying "nicotine causes cancer in humans
at the levels of smoking" I do find problematic - as a scientist (I also
tell them smoking is dumb!). I still prefer to say contributes to
causing cancer- you are absolutely correct that the evidence is
unequivocal re the contributions of nicotine to cancer whereas the
purely correlational alcohol data that is being used to imply a causal
connection to cancer does not rise to the same level or degree of
assurance.
Tim

-----Original Message-----
From: Marc Carter [mailto:[email protected]]
Sent: Thursday, February 26, 2009 12:52 PM
To: Teaching in the Psychological Sciences (TIPS)
Subject: RE: [tips] BBC NEWS | Health | Drink a day increases cancer
risk


If all the data on the carcinogenic and atherosclerotic effects of smoke
were correlational, I'd agree with you.  But they're not.  There are
animal models, there are _in vitro_ tissue studies, and there are
complex correlational techniques that all point to the health effects of
smoking.  To claim that smoking "causes" these things is based on far
more than simple correlation.

That's why I can say smoking "causes" cancer to my students and not be a
hypocrite.  I cannot say (with the same confidence) that alcohol causes
cancer, or reduces heart disease.

m

-------
Marc L Carter, PhD
Associate Professor and Chair
Department of Psychology
Baker University College of Arts & Sciences
-------
"I have yet to see any problem, however complicated, which, when you
looked at it the right way, did not become more complicated."
--  Paul Anderson

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