Christopher D. Green wrote:
> ...we are talking about an increase in risk of about 2 in 10,000.... 
> By contrast the increased risk of developing lung cancer from smoking 
> is about 130 in 1000 -- 1300 in 10,000, to put it on an equivalent 
> base.* So, there is simply no reasonable comparison between the two 
> effects: 2 vs. 1300.
>
Permit me to withdraw these numbers. I have mistakenly compared the 
increased risk of a moderate drinker developing breast cancer in any 
given year with the increased risk of a smoker developing lung over his 
or her lifetime. I am not able to locate exactly equivalent statistics 
right now. (I am remain fairly certain, however, that when I do, they 
will show that the risk of a smoker developing lung cancer is orders of 
magnitude higher than the risk of a moderate drinker developing breast 
cancer, so the general point stands.)

Chris
-- 

Christopher D. Green
Department of Psychology
York University
Toronto, ON M3J 1P3
Canada

 

416-736-2100 ex. 66164
[email protected]
http://www.yorku.ca/christo/

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