On Mon, 15 Nov 2010 10:22:52 -0800, Stephen Black wrote:
>I can see the future.

I bet you can.  And it's so bright, you have to wear shades. 
But I digress.  If you were on that "other" psychology teaching 
list, you would have seen the post about Daryl Bem's research on
how the "future affects the past" or "how anticipation is correlated
with future events".

But you probably knew that too. ;-)

>I see that a respected psychologist with excellent credentials 
>and a position at a quality university will provide strong evidence 
>in favour of precognition. I see that this will be published, not in 
>any old parapsychology rag, but in the holy _Journal of 
>Personality and Social Psychology_.

Holy?  Please.

>I see that there will be weeping and gnashing of teeth over this 
>one. 

Actually, this is a good reason to point out that:

(1)  No single study or group of studies done by a single researcher
is definitive.  See Leo DiCara.

(2)  Even if no one can find problems with what Bem reports in his
manuscript, the real test is replication of Bem's results by independent
researchers.  Whether one needs "sympathetic" researchers or 
research assistants is a point for discussion, especially regarding
expectancy effects (Bem makes a point in his preprint to thank his 
research assistants who were sympathetic to the research -- which 
troubles me).

>News report: http://tinyurl.com/Bem-precognition

Note:  from the New Scientist website.  

>Preprint: http://www.dbem.ws/FeelingFuture.pdf

Note: what finally appears in print might differ from this preprint.

>(My thanks to a colleague who pointed me to this).

Can any Tipster use his/her telepathic abilities to see into Prof. Black's
mind to find who the colleague is?  :-)

-Mike Palij
New York University
[email protected]


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