Hi Marc- I'm not sure about physics, but I'm pretty sure that we understand "statistical hypothesis testing". One of the best understood components is that there is ALWAYS a chance of either a Type I or Type II error. The old maxim "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence" has always been a good guide. When I read the reports that several other independent labs have successfully replicated Bem's work then I'll start re-evaluating my mental model of the cosmos.
-Don. ----- Original Message ----- From: Marc Carter <marc.car...@bakeru.edu> Date: Monday, November 15, 2010 10:39 am Subject: RE: [tips] Future shock To: "Teaching in the Psychological Sciences (TIPS)" <tips@fsulist.frostburg.edu> > > Ah. Bem. This is indeed a step up from Psych Bull. > (I intend no pun, but like it.) I wonder if they sent it > to Ray Hyman for review? > > I haven't read this carefully, but looking through it at the > results suggests small, but reliable effects. > > Either we don't understand physics, or we don't understand > "statistical hypothesis testing." > > I wonder which? > > m > > -- > Marc Carter, PhD > Associate Professor and Chair > Department of Psychology > College of Arts & Sciences > Baker University > -- > > > -----Original Message----- > > From: sbl...@ubishops.ca [mailto:sbl...@ubishops.ca] > > Sent: Monday, November 15, 2010 12:23 PM > > To: Teaching in the Psychological Sciences (TIPS) > > Subject: [tips] Future shock > > > > I can see the future. > > > > I see that a respected psychologist with excellent > > credentials and a position at a quality university will > > provide strong evidence in favour of precognition. I see that > > this will be published, not in any old parapsychology rag, > > but in the holy _Journal of Personality and Social Psychology_. > > > > I see that there will be weeping and gnashing of teeth over > this one. > > > > News report: http://tinyurl.com/Bem-precognition > > > > Preprint: http://www.dbem.ws/FeelingFuture.pdf > > > > (My thanks to a colleague who pointed me to this). > > > > Stephen > > -------------------------------------------- > > Stephen L. Black, Ph.D. > > Professor of Psychology, Emeritus > > Bishop's University > > Sherbrooke, Quebec, Canada > > e-mail: sblack at ubishops.ca > > --------------------------------------------- > > > > The information contained in this e-mail and any attachments > thereto ("e-mail") is sent by Baker University ("BU") and is > intended to be confidential and for the use of only the > individual or entity named above. The information may be > protected by federal and state privacy and disclosures acts or > other legal rules. If the reader of this message is not the > intended recipient, you are notified that retention, > dissemination, distribution or copying of this e-mail is > strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error > please immediately notify Baker University by email reply and > immediately and permanently delete this e-mail message and any > attachments thereto. Thank you. > > --- > You are currently subscribed to tips as: dap...@shaw.ca. > To unsubscribe click here: > http://fsulist.frostburg.edu/u?id=13157.966b795bc7f3ccb35e3da08aebe98f18&n=T&l=tips&o=6486or > send a blank email to > leave-6486-13157.966b795bc7f3ccb35e3da08aebe98...@fsulist.frostburg.edu > Don Allen Retired professor Langara College --- You are currently subscribed to tips as: arch...@jab.org. To unsubscribe click here: http://fsulist.frostburg.edu/u?id=13090.68da6e6e5325aa33287ff385b70df5d5&n=T&l=tips&o=6508 or send a blank email to leave-6508-13090.68da6e6e5325aa33287ff385b70df...@fsulist.frostburg.edu
