But can they predict _before hand_ which half of the players will in fact have hot streaks?
On Oct 24, 2011, at 11:42 AM, Jeffry Ricker wrote: > The hot hand exists in volleyball and is used for allocation decisions. > Raab, Markus; Gula, Bartosz; Gigerenzer, Gerd > Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, Oct 17, 2011 > > The “hot hand” belief in sports refers to the conviction that a player has a > higher chance of making a shot after two or three successful shots than after > two or three misses (resulting in “streaks”). This belief is usually > considered a cognitive fallacy, although it has been conjectured that in > basketball the defense will attack a “hot” player and prevent streaks from > occurring. To address this argument, we provide the first study on the hot > hand in volleyball, where the net limits direct defensive counterstrategies, > meaning that streaks can more likely emerge if a player is hot. We first > establish that athletes believe in the hot hand in volleyball (Study 1A). > Analyzing the top 26 first-division players, we then show that streaks do > exist for half of the players (Study 1B). Coaches can detect players' > performance variability and use it to make strategic decisions (Study 2A). > Playmakers are also sensitive to streaks and rely on them when deciding to > whom to allocate the ball (Study 2B). We conclude that for volleyball the hot > hand exists, coaches and playmakers are able to detect it, and playmakers > tend to use it “adaptively,” which results in more hits for a team. (PsycINFO > Database Record (c) 2011 APA, all rights reserved) > -- > --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- > Jeffry Ricker, Ph.D. > SCC: Professor of Psychology > MCCCD: General Studies Faculty Representative > PSY 101 Website: http://sccpsy101.wordpress.com/ > --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- > Scottsdale Community College > 9000 E. Chaparral Road > Scottsdale, AZ 85256-2626 > Office: SB-123 > Phone: (480) 423-6213 > Fax: (480) 423-6298 > > > --- > You are currently subscribed to tips as: [email protected]. > To unsubscribe click here: > http://fsulist.frostburg.edu/u?id=13438.3b5166ef147b143fedd04b1c4a64900b&n=T&l=tips&o=13639 > or send a blank email to > leave-13639-13438.3b5166ef147b143fedd04b1c4a649...@fsulist.frostburg.edu --- You are currently subscribed to tips as: [email protected]. To unsubscribe click here: http://fsulist.frostburg.edu/u?id=13090.68da6e6e5325aa33287ff385b70df5d5&n=T&l=tips&o=13641 or send a blank email to leave-13641-13090.68da6e6e5325aa33287ff385b70df...@fsulist.frostburg.edu
