Colbert is his replacment

On Wed, Apr 9, 2014 at 5:10 PM, PGage <[email protected]> wrote:

> On Wed, Apr 9, 2014 at 4:38 PM, Joe Hass <[email protected]> wrote:
>
>> On Tue, Apr 8, 2014 at 8:01 PM, PGage <[email protected]> wrote:
>>
>>>
>>> 2. I think Dave is exercising a lot more control over his exit than
>>> Carson did over his. It really is a myth that Johnny went out on his own
>>> terms - Leno's ratings were higher than Carson's, and there was panic over
>>> the age of Carson's audience, and open grumbling from NBC and affiliates
>>> over when he would retire. Johnny stopped all of that by announcing his
>>> retirement, and then got to bask in the nostalgic glory, which was smart,
>>> but he was already having the door pointed out to him, if not outright
>>> shown to him.
>>>
>>
>> A couple issues with this:
>>
>> * If I remember correctly, it was when Helen Kushnik put that story in
>> the NY Post that Carson's fuse was lit which would blow at the affiliates
>> meeting (which was done to effectively shock NBC, which wasn't telling him
>> they were thinking of dumping him).
>>
>> * According to his story, it started to dawn on him last fall when he and
>> Harry went fishing. I don't think Letterman would've waited that long to
>> pull the trigger unless something else happened: either he waited for Leno
>> to wrap up (unlikely), or he wanted to see what would happen with Fallon. I
>> don't think he left because of Fallon, but when Fallon took off like a
>> rocket, he either thought "Johnny would approve of him" (which, given how
>> much he truly respected The Tonight Show as an institution, much like Conan
>> O'Brien did, I think is at least a >0% possibility) or "The game's clearly
>> changed, and I'm good."
>>
>
> Kushnik may have lit the fuse, but there was already plenty of kindling
> among affiliates griping about Carson and agitating for a change. I don't
> think there has been any of that with Dave in the last 12 to 18 months. If
> Carson had not announced he was retiring, there is no doubt NBC was going
> to start pushing him out; OTOH, if Dave wanted to resign right now for 3
> more years I am sure Les would co-sign it in a second.
>
> Dave will be 67 when he retires - the same age Carson was when he retired.
> Dave will have been a late night TV host for 33 years when he retired,
> which I think is 3 or 4 years more than Carson did. Unlike Carson, Dave has
> a young son and a relatively happy marriage. At this point, the question is
> not "Why is Dave retiring?", but "Why is he still working?" I don't think
> there is anything that Fallon did our could have done that would have
> changed his mind about staying around any longer than he already is.
>
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