Tom noted the surprising fact that as tv ratings have tanked tv ad rates
have not fallen as fast as print newspaper ads did. (Sorry for the
paraphrase, could not manage effective trim of last post).

I think the difference is that individual programs have differential
ratings, unlike articles in a paper, *and* the relative impact of tv ads.

A top 10 tv show may only get 5 million viewers, maybe a quarter of what it
got 30 years ago, but that still may be one the highest volume ads an
advertiser can place, while as newspaper circulation went down there were
cheaper and better alternatives available. In fact, as all mass audiences
fragment, it is possible high rated tv shows are worth more now to
advertisers than they were in past when they had higher ratings.

I think it is going to be a lot harder to kill off commercial television
than people think. As long as 6 million old people watch NCSI and 10
million young men watch NFL (or whatever the actual numbers), adult diaper
and beer bottlers are going to be willing to pay a lot to reach them.
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