On Sun, Jun 19, 2022 at 5:58 PM PGage <[email protected]> wrote:

> Similar to the take by Puck’s Matt Belloni, who was surprised by the
> underperformance:
>
> “What happened with Lightyear? I took the over on the $75 million
> tracking, and it came in at just $51 million, more in line with lesser
> Pixar originals and not a Toy Story spinoff. Yikes. I polled a few
> distribution experts, and nobody thinks the same-sex kiss was a meaningful
> deterrent (sorry, Ted), but it certainly didn’t help. The bigger problems
> were a) The movie isn’t thematically connected to Toy Story; b) marketing
> didn’t properly explain the tricky conceit; and c) Disney’s streaming
> strategy has devalued Pixar by dumping its past three movies on Disney+.
>
>
> The Quorum’s David Herrin, who does the WIH movie polling chart, has a
> couple other explanations:
>
> 1. We don’t fully understand the post-pandemic box office: We have a
> pretty good read on superhero and tentpole movies in this era, but it
> doesn't mean the same will be true for family films. It could be that at
> this moment there is a $70 million ceiling (like Sonic 2). Three animated
> films are opening in July. If Minions—likely the strongest of the
> three—performs in line with Lightyear, then we'll know that the family
> audience hasn't fully returned to theaters.
>
> 2. The reviews weren’t there: Lightyear ranks No. 21 among Pixar films.
> Those at the bottom of this list are among Pixar's softest performers.
>

I know a great many people with young children who have been waiting for
the FDA to approve of Covid vaccines for ages 5 and under, and have avoided
most large gatherings until that occurs. Since FDA authorization is now in
the works, the late summer/early fall box offices might be higher as
parents feel safer.


> 3. The market is becoming more saturated: As I wrote a few weeks ago, big
> films haven't had much competition. Now they do. Perhaps we need to revise
> our assumptions.
>
>
> On Sun, 19 Jun 2022 at 1:06 PM 'Bob Jersey' via TVorNotTV <
> [email protected]> wrote:
>
>> *Lightyear* trails the Jurassic World movie in B.O., is getting so-so
>> reviews owing to the non-connection to the earlier films, and is the first
>> Pixar property to début in theaters since 2020...
>>
>>
>> https://www.cnn.com/2022/06/19/media/lightyear-box-office-pixar-disney/index.html
>>  (link)
>>
>> B
>>
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