I think the things you mention open new possibilities for very useful, seemingly intelligent large scale applications. However, Idon't see how any present paradigm holds promise for true artificial intelligence. That is not to say it is not possible; I just don't see any indication of it. The only thing I currently see is perhaps an artificially grown brain modeled after the way the human brain grows. But that would be artificial life rather than intelligence.

Richard E. Neapolitan, Professor
Division of Biomedical Informatics
Department of Preventive Medicine
Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine
750 N. Lake Shore Drive, 11th Floor
Chicago, Illinois 60611

On 8/21/2013 11:46 AM, Dash, Denver H wrote:
Widely believed among the general population or among AI researchers? The 
former may be true and probably has been true for the past 30 years :)

As for the latter, researchers by nature are more cynical, but I do think that 
the confluence of big data, cloud computing, deep nets, and integrated 
solutions such as Watson, have brought a new sense of optimism to the field 
that hasn't existed in maybe 30 years.

Just my opinion.
Denver

On Aug 21, 2013, at 11:54 AM, "Richard E. Neapolitan" 
<[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:

Dear Colleagues,
One of my publisher's asked me to review  a proposal for a book. The theme of the book is 
predicated on the statement that "it is widely believed that in the next 10 to 100 
years scientists will succeed in creating human level artificial general 
intelligence." There is no research that gives me any reason to believe this. In my 
recent AI textbook I took the stance that we have essentially failed at this endeavor. 
Does anyone know of any research that would make someone make such a statement?
Thanks,
Rich

--
Richard E. Neapolitan, Ph.D., Professor
Division of Health and Biomedical Informatics
Department of Preventive Medicine
Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine
750 N. Lake Shore Drive, 11th floor
Chicago IL 60611

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