At 10:18 AM -0700 3/27/02, Mark Leisher wrote:

>Niemitz appears to have a revisionist agenda of some sort.  He also questions
>C14 dating.  I haven't read that particular thesis yet because my technical
>German is a bit rusty,

The link is in English. Don't let your German stop you from judging 
for yourself. :-)

>  but I suspect he trots out at least some of the classic
>bogus claims that C14 dating is a sham.
>

No, he doesn't. He has all-new claims :-), which IMHO have not yet 
been proven to be bogus.

>See the sci.skeptics FAQ for C14 claim details:
>
>   http://home.xnet.com/~blatura/skep_5.html
>

This isn't really relevant to Niemetz's claims at all. The 
sci.skeptic FAQ is addressing creationist efforts to prove the Earth 
is a lot younger than it is. Niemetz is discussing the problems with 
correlating C-14 dating through tree rings, as well as the available 
samples from the period at issue.  These are very real problems that 
are well known to practitioners in the field. The creationists often 
latch onto legitimate disagreements and disputes among scientists (as 
they also do when looking at evolution) and proceed to make the 
unsupportable leap that this invalidates the whole field.  It's sort 
of like saying that because the Unicode mailing list can't always 
agree on whether two characters are glyph variations or not, the 
entirety of Unicode is completely wrong.

This not at all what Niemetz is doing. He does not question the basic 
science of C-14 dating. He's questioning the accuracy of certain C-14 
samples to within a few hundred years margin of error. Specifically, 
he suggests that original incorrect assumptions about the dates of 
certain samples led C-14 dating for that period to be incorrectly 
calibrated. That's a lot more plausible than claiming that the Earth 
is only 5000 years old. Even if Niemetz is completely right, this 
would have no significant impact on issues like when the Earth was 
formed and when dinosaurs lived. Any paleontologist/geologist would 
tell you that their estimates aren't accurate to within +-300 years, 
with or without C-14 dating.

>I expect a serious search will turn up thorough debunkings of Niemitz' work,
>if anyone bothered.
>

A good suggestion. I ran a variety of search terms through Google and 
didn't come up with anything that I could recognize as relevant, 
though most of the results were in German and I couldn't read those. 
 From what little I know of this, most of the serious discussion has 
taken place in German. I'd love to hear of any other links about this 
in either English or French.

The really interesting thing is trying to debunk this claim. Exactly 
how do you go about proving a period of history existed? At first his 
claims felt to me like unfalsifiable proposition. However, then I 
realized that it isn't really that hard to prove the existence of 
earlier periods. In particular the existence of Rome and Greece is 
very well documented through coins, buildings, archaeology, 
literature, and much more. Romulus and Remus and Aeneas may be total 
myths, but by the time of the late Republic and the Empire, the 
existence of Rome is thoroughly established. Ditto for Athens and the 
rest of Greece. We're still digging up papyrus fragments in the sands 
of Egypt that establish the accuracy (and in some cases inaccuracy) 
of Roman and Greek literature handed down through the ages. You can 
walk around Rome or Athens today and look at the evidence all around 
you. Why can't we do the same for Charlemagne and the Holy Roman 
Empire?

The question of why Europe suddenly fell into the Dark Ages has been 
a hotly debated subject for a long time. It's astonishing to consider 
that the answer might be that it never happened at all.
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