At 1:45 PM -0500 01/04/2006, Dan Stewart wrote:
And since that whole anti-trust bruhaha with MS,,, PCs can now be sold without any OS license at all. You just add a retail purchase to them...

Apple intends to word the license such that it is legal to run OS X only on Apple hardware. Whether that's enforceable or not is another question.

hum. I just checked a coule of licenses and was suprized that isn't already in there!

I think this year will be interesting. The hackers are going to be working hard to get around whatever Apple does to lock OS X to it to their motherboards... Once they get a handle on it (and I really think they will eventually), I think it will become something of an escalating war: Hackers fix OS X, Apple breaks it, fix, break, fix, break...

If each new update breaks it - as is rumored - then it will be more trouble than it's worth.

Not necessarily (below).  But only time will tell, I guess.

Web sites with instructions and patches will be forced to cease due to Apple lawyers. It will be too much work to do for free, and people won't be able to charge money for the work.

Yea, I'm sure Apple will sick lawyers on it. Gotta keep them employeed. But where there's a will there's away. $ won't be a problem. There are many anonymous ways to pass cash.

Keep OS X locked to Macs == Keep the Mac as a small niche market.

Exactly. It's what everyone at Apple wants. The last thing they want is for Apple and Macs to be perceived as "common". Too many big egos at Apple to let that happen. They like what they think is their "boutique" status. Naturally, it's exactly this image that keeps most people away. That, and the software problem below.

Open OS X to all x86 PCs == Explode OS X onto the scene, scare the pants of MS, and take over the laptop and desktop world.

Never happen, for the same reason it's never happened yet.

I think the reason it hasn't happened yet is more about mass momentum than desire. The reward for getting ppc OS X to work on a PReP is minimal; even those systems are rare. Hopefully, the reward for getting x86 OS X to work on a standard x86 box will be big.

Remember, people were saying the same thing when OS X was first released. It was the "windows killer".

Not me! :)

ppc OS X is too limited by the number of machines it can come near.

And I see it as a big step backward. I'm just happy that the world is thrilled by an OS whoze guts come from the late 60s and early 70s. Why are they thrilled? Because the previous OS was based on techniques that a HS student could implement.

The real reason Macs have never taken off is software. None of the existing Windows software - and there is tons of it - will magically run on OS X just because it's running on X86 hardware. You're still locked into the small OS X software niche. No business software, no games = no sales.

hum. I haven't found that to be the case all the time. In many of the props I've been part of, software was easy; reasonable equivalents were available.

The bigges hurdles I've seen, beyond basic performance, were

1) The inital capital expendature. In places were that matters, the total cost of ownership is almost moot -- because it comes from different budgets.

2) Apple ignoring the customer. We report bugs in their drivers and kernel, and nothing gets Apple's attention long enough to get it fixed in a timely fashion. This has given Apple a very bad reputation.

3) The MS Phone Call And Visit. MS hears a shop is going Mac and they pounce! When they start offering financial incentives, and Apple fails to respond...

Defeat snatched from the jaws of victory.

- Dan.

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