Posted by Jim Lindgren:
Syrian Pullback to Bekaa Valley Prevents Search of That Area.--

   Assad announced that he is pulling back Syrian troops to the Bekaa
   Valley in Lebanon. This [1]entry from The Dream of Lebanon explains
   the stated reason for staying in Bekaa:

     Assad Withdraws 12,000 Troops, Keeping 3,000 Behind as Bekaa
     Garrison

     President Assad is expected to announce a major redeployment of the
     Syrian army in Lebanon in a speech at Syria's People's Council, or
     parliament, on Saturday, pulling out some 12,000 troops by March 23
     and leaving behind a 3,000-strong garrison in the Bekaa Valley, the
     Beirut media reports.

     Assad believes the March 23 deadline would enable him to fend off a
     potential storm at the Arab summit conference set for the same day
     in Algiers against Syria's 28-year-old breath-choking tutelage over
     Lebanon, media reports said.

     The alibi for retaining the Bekaa garrison, complete with four
     mountaintop early warning systems, is to guard against an Israeli
     army flank attack on Damascus via Lebanon. Some Lebanese opposition
     leaders may go along with the Bekaa concept provided Syria's secret
     services are withdrawn altogether from every inch of Lebanon,
     reports said.

     The local media is focusing enormous interest on the Assad speech
     Saturday afternoon, wondering whether he would make any reference
     to the withdrawal of secret service centers that are abundant in
     Beirut and other major Lebanese cities.

     An Nahar said in a terse remark Saturday that residents of the
     Upper Metn district spotted movements by the Syrian troops
     stationed in the region. It did not elaborate.

   The [2]Turkish Weekly has a couple of quotations from Assad's speech:

     Syrian President Bashar Al-Assad addressed the Syrian parliament
     this evening. As expected he vowed a `gradual withdrawal` but no
     timetable for the withdrawal was given.

     Assad : `We have to act positively to the stability of Lebanon`

     Assad defended the role of Syria for stability, and emphasized that
     the Syria has no interest in Lebanon. Syria's presence in Lebanon
     is just for the stability of the Lebanon and the region.

     Assad says forces will withdraw to Bekaa Valley in E. Lebanon. He
     claimed they were already pulled back troops in 1999 when there was
     no pressure at all.

     Assad: �We should not stay one day if consensus asks us to leave�

   When I first heard that Syria was pulling out of Lebanon, I knew that
   Syria would still try to set up a puppet government, so there was a
   lot that would have to happen before Lebanon was free. But I also had
   a tangential thought that a pull-out might allow the US or some other
   reliable investigators to search the Bekaa Valley to see what the
   Iraqis may have shipped there before the Iraqi War. One of the claims
   that was made before the Iraqi War by the sometimes unreliable
   Debka.com was that WMDs were shipped to Syria. After the War, both US
   and coalition officials said that they tracked shipments to Syria, but
   could not know whether there were any WMDs in them.

   For example, Coalition WMD inspector [3]David Kay told the Telegraph
   on Jan. 24, 2004:

     �We are not talking about a large stockpile of weapons. But we know
     from some of the interrogations of former Iraqi officials that a
     lot of material went to Syria before the war, including some
     components of Saddam�s WMD program. Precisely what went to Syria
     and what has happened to it, is a major issue that needs to be
     resolved.

   The sometimes unreliable [4]Debka.com reported that one of the sites
   where WMDs were buried was the Bekaa Valley in Lebanon:

     Indeed the US administration and its intelligence agencies, as well
     as Dr Kay, were all provided with Syrian maps marked with the
     coordinates of the secret weapons storage sites. The largest one is
     located at Qaratshuk at the heart of a desolate and unfrequented
     region edged with marshes, south of the Syrian town of Al Qamishli
     near the place where the Iraqi, Syrian and Turkish frontiers
     converge; smaller quantities are hidden in the vast plain between
     Al Qamishli and Az Zawr, and a third is under the ground of the
     Lebanese Beqaa Valley on the Syrian border.

   Since the Syrian pullback is to the Bekaa Valley, I guess the Syrians
   will have a chance to cover their tracks (if their tracks need
   covering). We know that the WMDs existed in Iraq in 1998 because
   inspectors found them, and we know with reasonable certainty that
   there were no major stockpiles of WMDs in Iraq when the war started
   because we found only a few isolated WMDs in Iraq after the war. What
   we may never know is when they were removed or -- what is more likely
   -- destroyed.

References

   1. 
http://www.lebaneselobby.org/News__index/news%202005/03%2005%2005%20Assad%20Withdraws%2012000%20Troops%20Keeping%203000%20Behind%20as%20Bekaa%20Garrison.htm
   2. http://www.turkishweekly.net/news.php?id=5808
   3. 
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2004/01/25/wirq25.xml&sSheet=/news/2004/01/25/ixnewstop.html
   4. http://debka.com/article.php?aid=780

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