Chris Zell <[email protected]> wrote:
> As for the Ph.D’s gained studying climate and all their expertise and > experience, it means about as to public interest as the history of > collecting porcelain Hummel figures…………..EXCEPT for their ability to make > unambiguous, practical, truthful predictions. > They do the best they can, and the best that is humanly possible at present. Do not demand the impossible such as unambiguous predictions. I have never heard an honest scientist say anything unambiguous. People demand assurance from cold fusion researchers that cold fusion will definitely become a practical source of energy. Many so-called skeptics say they will not believe it until it is sold in the stores. This is an outrageous standard for a scientific discovery. > My religious background has left me with a permanent distaste for doom and > gloom prophecy –and that includes negative climate speculations (emphasis > on ‘speculation’). > It is not speculation. It may be wrong, but it is grounded in hard science and fantastic amounts of data. There is a world of difference between religious prophecy and climate science. They are as dissimilar as anything can be. > Their predictive track record is not good. > On the contrary, it is excellent, especially given the difficulties of the science. > When I was a young boy, the future was full of trips to other planets, > starships, fusion energy, pills to stop aging, the end of fossil fuels and > cures for paralysis/MS/ALS and cancer. None of those things happened. > Some of them did happen and the others may yet happen. The use of fossil fuels has been greatly reduced and it would have been reduced more if these unfortunate fission reactor accidents had not occurred. We do have fusion energy in the form of cold fusion. People just do not realize it yet. Some forms of cancer have been cured and others reduced. We have robot explorers on Mars. Great progress has been made in curing some forms of paralysis lately. We have self driving cars long before I thought they would arrive. We are finally making progress in artificial intelligence, with the Watson computer beating the world's experts in Jeopardy. Robotics are improving by leaps and bounds, threatening to put most people out of a job. If LENR comes to market, open the champagne. However, so far, it has > failed to breech the barrier of stagnation that oppresses us. > I agree there is stagnation. See: http://lenr-canr.org/acrobat/RothwellJcomparison.pdf If I thought there was no chance we will ever breech it I would not be devoting my time to promoting cold fusion and editing boring papers in it. History shows that things sometimes change faster than you might realize. - Jed
