Exactly. This is the critical problem with climate change in the mainstream. Their predictions tend to be junk. What is the value of their expertise?
From: a.ashfield [mailto:[email protected]] Sent: Thursday, December 03, 2015 10:23 PM To: [email protected] Subject: Re: [Vo]:Story on climate crisis would need some comments CB Sites wrote: "In regards to the physics of global warming, it's very real." Of course it's warming. The world has warmed 0.5C/century since the end of the Little Ice Age, but I doubt that is what you meant. Your linked paper may well be right based on the assumptions used. The problem is the assumptions are wrong. Some are missing. None of the models can hindcaste well beyond the range for which they were tuned because they don't yet understand things like clouds and cannot forecast the multidecadal oscillations as these are chaotic. You can see just how poorly they all work in the following link (there are many similar), no matter that someone has written a paper proving by another model that the models are right. http://b-i.forbesimg.com/peterferrara/files/2013/11/Roy-Spencer-IPCC-Models1-1024x711.jpg
