>>That's science fiction, needless to say.
Yes I agree, we would be stupid to do this ourselves, yet what if we really
pis__d of China for example? Your not going to change gears over night or
even in a few years. We have given up Steel, Cooper, Aluminum, Textiles, to
name some primary ones. Not to mention we and our animals are being
poisoned. I purchased from a national chain pharmacy Cipro for a chronic
infection and in reading the enclosed fact sheet, noted a number of spelling
errors. Needless to say this was counterfeit.

To say our imports could not be stopped is not in my mind impossible, albeit
not our choice, or maybe our enemies could just poison us over a period of
time.

I do not believe we as a people are capable of turning around quick enough
to prevent serious problems. The old school 'Uncle Sam Wants You' or be
another 'Rosie the Riveter' inner responsibility is alive and well.

-----Original Message-----
From: Jed Rothwell [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Thursday, June 21, 2007 3:32 PM
To: [email protected]
Subject: Re: [Vo]:US Lost


Stiffler Scientific wrote:

>If the US could Seal all borders, nothing IN from anywhere, could we
survive
>without anarchy?
>
>Would we become a starving, unable to self support nation?

That's science fiction, needless to say. There is no way we would
want to do such a thing. But I am sure a country the size of the U.S.
could easily be self-sufficient. It was nearly self-sufficient for
nearly all extraction (mining), industry, energy and other major
economic sectors up until the 1960s.

The only difficulty, at first, would be the supply of oil and other
liquid fuel. The U.S. imports ~60% of its oil. The price of gasoline
would soar to $5 or $10 for a while. People would make very rapid
adjustments such as carpooling and video telecommuting -- as we have
discussed here -- and the problem would be fixed in five years or so.
I think there would be less disruption and suffering than people
realize. I think we should immediately impose a $2/gallon tax on
gasoline and make this happen, with much of the money used to reduce
tax rates for people earning less than $30,000 per year.

The other critical import that would hurt a lot more than oil in the
long run is brainpower. Many of the most talented students at the top
U.S. technical universities and at corporations such as Google are
from foreign countries. Thomas Freidman described the graduation
commencement at Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute this year:

"Laughing and Crying

By THOMAS L. FRIEDMAN
Published: May 23, 2007

First I had to laugh. Then I had to cry.

I took part in commencement this year at Rensselaer Polytechnic
Institute, one of America's great science and engineering schools, so
I had a front-row seat as the first grads to receive their diplomas
came on stage, all of them Ph.D. students. . . .

The reason I had to laugh was because it seemed like every one of the
newly minted Ph.D.'s at Rensselaer was foreign born. For a moment, as
the foreign names kept coming -- ''Hong Lu, Xu Xie, Tao Yuan, Fu
Tang'' -- I thought that the entire class of doctoral students in
physics were going to be Chinese, until ''Paul Shane Morrow'' saved
the day. It was such a caricature of what President Jackson herself
calls ''the quiet crisis'' in high-end science education in this
country that you could only laugh.

Don't get me wrong. I'm proud that our country continues to build
universities and a culture of learning that attract the world's best
minds. My complaint -- why I also wanted to cry -- was that there
wasn't someone from the Immigration and Naturalization Service
standing next to President Jackson stapling green cards to the
diplomas of each of these foreign-born Ph.D.'s. I want them all to
stay, become Americans and do their research and innovation here. If
we can't educate enough of our own kids to compete at this level,
we'd better make sure we can import someone else's, otherwise we will
not maintain our standard of living. . . ."

By every meaningful measurement, the U.S. is dead last in First World
education. Roughly 20% of the U.S. adult population has not graduated
from high school. See:

http://www.census.gov/prod/2003pubs/c2kbr-24.pdf

U.S. high school graduation rates are below half in many poor
counties and cities. 1.2 million drop out of high school per year in
the U.S. I do not know about the rest of the country, but the quality
of public education in Atlanta is drastically different from one
neighborhood to the next, and in most schools it is dreadful. There
is no way the U.S. will survive as a major power or as anything other
than an economic colony of Japan, China or the E.U. Ireland will soon
have more native high-tech brainpower than the U.S. The U.S. also
spends three times more than any other country per capita on
healthcare, but by most standards we are dead-last in the first
world, and far below places like Costa Rica and Cuba. The nation is
in very serious trouble in three fields: energy, education and health
care. We have done nothing to address these problem for the last 20
years, and unless the voters and political leaders get serious we
will be far worse trouble a generation from now.

- Jed

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