Steven Krivit wrote:

Let me know if that helps clarify.
>

I think that is clearer. You can see that the power levels are really not
that varied, and there is practically no real-time correlation to the
helium. Actually, the error bars are probably even larger because the
instrument is at the limits of detection. At higher levels both accuracy and
precision improve. That's true of most instruments. Plus, I have no doubt
the helium levels really do vary, and this is not just an instrument
artifact, for the reasons given in the document: different amounts of helium
are captured in the near surface layers of the metal, depending on complex
factors. That is well established. You have to go to great lengths to
recover all of the helium. During the run the stuff will suddenly vent at
odd times, presumably when a crack forms.

This is how marginal experimental data looks. If the correlation was better
than this I would begin to suspect someone doctored the data. With an
instrument that can detect 1 ppb minimum, the difference between 1 and 3 ppb
is hardly meaningful. On the other hand the difference between 100 ppb and
101 ppb is more significant and reliable.

- Jed

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