On Sun, May 29, 2011 at 3:45 AM, Peter Gluck <[email protected]> wrote:

> Dear Joshua,
>
> in case your approach to the New Energy is constructive
> and not destructive would you contribute seriously to:
> http://egooutpeters.blogspot.com/2011/05/call-for-perfect-e-cat-experiment.html
>  ?
>
> what experiment, what results will convince you that the device is
> producing useful energy?
>


I'm glad you asked.


*A. Demonstrating power:*


To demonstrate thermal power, the simplest method is to heat water, and that
is of course what Rossi does. But he doesn't do it in a transparent way that
allows anyone to conclude, just by watching it, that yup, his device is
producing power without an external supply of fuel. Here is an example of an
experiment that would be visual and not require experts to tell you what's
happening:


1. First and foremost, the device must be completely and obviously
standalone. So, disconnect the hydrogen bottle, and the mains power input.

- The hydrogen bottle should be easy because they claim so little hydrogen
is consumed, and in some experiments they claim the valve was closed, and in
at least one, it is disconnected. Given that, it is completely baffling that
in the only somewhat public display they have had, the bottle was left
connected, with the valve open.

- The input electricity is probably more complicated. As it is explained,
heat is needed to initiate the reaction, and that is provided by resistive
heating. Fine. Use the mains for that, but then unplug it when the reaction
starts. And make it obvious: wheel the whole contraption away to show no
umbilical cords are attached.

         Rossi claims the thing has run without power, but that it's
dangerous, although he doesn't explain why. The speculation is that an input
control is needed to prevent some sort of runaway condition, but it seems
counter-intuitive to use additional heat input to prevent runaway. In
particular, it is implausible that cutting the power by 10% or less would
stop a runaway condition, when the variation in claimed output levels is far
greater than 10%. In one experiment the claimed input was 80 W, less than 1
% of the output when it peaked briefly at 120 kW. Does he expect us to
believe that that subtracting 80 W from 120 kW will shut down the reaction,
even while they claim it operates perfectly well at 15 kW? It makes much
more sense to vary the flow rate of the coolant with a solenoid valve to
control the reaction. Then you can actually remove heat to try to stop the
reaction, rather than just stop adding heat. Of course a solenoid valve
needs power too, but only a few watts, and could be controlled for several
days with a suitable lithium battery. Rossi claimed to shut down the reactor
in the Dec demo (reported by Levi) using tap water at a high flow rate, so
one could set up an emergency passive cooling tank above the ecat to cool it
in a runaway condition.



Alternatively, they could power a stirling engine between the inflowing and
outflowing water and use it to run a generator to produce the electricity
needed. Rossi's supposed to be an engineer, so this should be easy for him.
The efficiency would be low of course, but he's claiming 30x gain, and keep
in mind that the heat that's expelled by the engine could still be used to
heat the coolant in the first stage, so the ability to generate steam would
only be compromised by the energy that's actually converted to electricity.


The importance of being standalone goes beyond obviating the measurement of
input power. It has practical importance too. If you can't generate the
electricity for the input because the efficiency is too low given the small
temperature difference, then ideally, that means a heat pump can supply the
same heat. And we know heat pumps will not solve our energy problems.  Now
practically, a heat pump will perform between 1/2 and 3/4 as well because of
losses, but still, this is nothing at all exceptional. In my opinion, any
energy device has to power itself to make a significant contribution above
what heat pumps can already do, let alone convince the world that it's real.


2. With no inputs, if cold water goes in, and hot water comes out, then it
is clear that the device itself is transferring energy to the water. But
even that simple phenomena was not made obvious in Rossi's January
demonstration. It was pretty clear that water was going in, but what came
out? It was in a different room, and we had to take someone's word for it
that the temperature was at the boiling point. Even if it was necessary to
exhaust the output in another room, a very simple and visible method could
have been designed to show that it was at or near the boiling point. Simply
run the output fluid through a copper coil inside a clear container of
water. If the fluid in the conduit is at the boiling point, it should
maintain a gentle boil in the water in the container.


3. To establish that the amount of power is in the ballpark of the claimed
10 kW requires some mental arithmetic, but importantly requires no
information the observer can't get on his own. We all know, or can easily
learn, that a typical electric water kettle consumes about a kW, and can
bring a liter of ice-water to its boiling point in less than 10 minutes. So
10 kW should be able to heat 1 liter of ice-water to boiling in under a
minute. So using a 20 L input reservoir of ice water, running it through the
system maintaining an output temperature at the boiling point, verified by a
boiling pot of water, should take less than 20 minutes.


That represents one example of how 10 kW of thermal power could be
established in a completely visual demonstration without the need for
thermometers, flow meters, or expert observation. It's no flying airplane,
but it would be hard to find flaws. There are certainly other ways to do it,
but Rossi has done nothing that comes anywhere close to achieving this.


*B. Chemical or Nuclear*


Producing 10 kW with a device the size of Rossi's ecat is of course nothing
special. The important claim is that the origin of the heat is nuclear,
which means the *energy* density is orders of magnitude higher than for
chemical fuel. To demonstrate this requires patience and vigilance to run
the instrument much longer than it could be run on chemical fuel.


It could be done by running the system described above for a long enough
period, but that would require a much larger input reservoir, or monitoring
the flow rate, which would rob it of any sort of dramatic visual impact. And
the time required to reach the energy contained in an equivalent volume (22
L) of gasoline (e.g.) would require about 18 hours. Of course, considerably
less than that would already be pretty impressive, because a controlled burn
of chemical fuel requires substantial infrastructure, so only a fraction of
the device's apparent volume could actually store fuel.


Still, he's claiming a nuclear reaction, and a factor of a million, so why
settle for "pretty impressive", when you can exceed it easily by a factor of
10 or 100, by letting the thing run for a week or more? Mainly because
independent observers can't devote 18 hours to watching water boil, let
alone a week or more. And Rossi is evidently not prepared to release the
device to the custody of independent observers.


I don't think there's any obvious solution to this without increasing the
power output of the device, or reducing its size with the same power output,
but I can suggest one demonstration that is at least a big improvement:


Hot tubs with 1000L capacity typically have 10 kW heaters in them, and
anyone who has one will know (and anyone else can find out) that it takes
about 2 hours to heat it from ambient temperature (20C) to operating
temperature at about 40C. So that can be used as benchmark for the ecat.
Instead of just expelling the energy into an abyss, if you store it in a
huge tub of water, then the need to continuously monitor the flow rate and
temperatures disappears, and the opportunities to cry foul are drastically
reduced. The idea is to circulate the water in the hot tub through the ecat,
in a method illustrated nicely in the second figure of the hot tub entry on
wikipedia:


You'd need a bigger tub for 1000L, but the idea is the same. This method
doesn't even need power for a pump. You can even avoid the use of
thermometers by starting with ice-water, and floating paraffin wax in it,
which would melt at about 50C. That would extend the temperature change to
about 50C (from 20C) and make the demonstration completely visual, and
independent of expert consultation, albeit still very slow at about 5 or 6
hours.


To compare the ecat with a chemical fuel, one could set up two identical
tubs, and heat one with a suitable propane or kerosene heater, and the other
with a *standalone* ecat, as described in section II.



Heating 1000 L of water from 0 to 50C requires about 200 MJ plus losses.
That would take about 7 L of kerosene, which could be verified by the second
tub. Seven liters or more of chemical fuel would be pretty difficult to hide
in an ecat, and I would be surprised if such a demonstration wouldn't
attract much more attention from the media and scientists.


To take it to the next level would only require a tub that can withstand
boiling water, and a lot more time. Then you could heat the water to boiling
in both tubs. In one tub you could measure how much chemical fuel is needed
to boil away say half the water. This would require about 1500 MJ plus
losses, or at least 50 L of fuel. (A well insulated, (mostly) covered hot
tub loses about 10 W per degree temperature difference, so at boiling, it
would lose about 800 W, which is still less than 10% of the input power.)


The key here would be that only vapor, and not liquid, would be escape the
tub. (This is not the case when the liquid is forced through a heated
conduit, in which case it will escape regardless of its state.)


If a standalone ecat could boil away half the water in a 1000 L hot tub in a
transparent, publicly open and supervised demonstration, the royal wedding
would look like a small media event by comparison. Rossi would have Bob
Park, Steve Koonin, Oprah, and Tom Brokaw all breathing down his neck. But
as long as he keeps them in a windowless trailer and gives them Levi's or
Kalluder's notes, they will remain underwhelmed.

All of this is of course a much more complicated setup, but come on, for a
billion dollar idea, it's peanuts, and even compared to making 30 ecats
strung together, this seems easier.

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