On Dec 15, 2011, at 5:31 AM, Jed Rothwell wrote:

Horace Heffner <[email protected]> wrote:

The other tests cannot be faked as far as I know. No skeptic has come up with a plausible method.


Jed, your memory must be even worse than mine.


I mean it. Take your analysis here:

http://www.mtaonline.net/~hheffner/Rossi6Oct2011Review.pdf

You ignore the central fact about this test which is that the reactor remained at boiling temperatures for four hours with no input power. It was too hot to touch. It burned an observer. This is irrefutable proof that the effect is real. Instead of explaining this, or even trying to deal with it, you raise nitpicking objections to irrelevant details. I take this as tacit admission on your part that the effect is real.

Your paper is the best proof that even thoughtful, careful skeptics have no reasons to doubt this claim. Obviously, people who think that ultrasonic humidifier mist can be pushed through a long hose never did have any valid reasons.

- Jed


Either your memory is bad or you set very different standards of credibility for Rossi's claims than you do for the plausibility of faking methods.

Your choice of my paper as an example is diversionary because (1) it only deals with one test and (2) it assumes a configuration with no fraud, no chemical energy being provided, a configuration with a logical reason behind it.

That said, I think you should read the analysis again. All that is required to boil water and burn people for the test duration is an appropriate thermal mass and thermal resistance. The gross calculations of those were provided early on.

Later I provided Graph 2S, referenced on page 13 as:

   http://www.mtaonline.net/%7Ehheffner/Graph2S.png

which demonstrates an output of between 1500 W and and 750 W between time 150 minutes and time 476 minutes.

I'd say sustaining a thermal output of between 1500 W and 750 W, or even half that, *without even using chemical energy*, just thermal mass, is enough to boil water and burn observers for 4 hours. Not all the water needs be boiled that was claimed for your conditions to be met. Also, the position of the Tout thermocouple, as well as the horizontal position of the heat exchanger, in the Oct test is not nitpicking. These things are critical to the interpretation of the results.

If you assume fraud and add the possibility of chemical energy, which is feasible by numerous means, and only the use of the 30x30x30 cm interior box, then it is even feasible to produce the *claimed* energy output which was assumed but not proven. Even batteries can do that. For example see:

   http://www.mail-archive.com/[email protected]/msg58712.html

Pyrolysis of carbon based fuels is another feasible method.  See:

   http://www.mail-archive.com/[email protected]/msg56339.html

Don't bother saying people saw inside the box. No one saw inside the 30x30x30 cm interior box, shown in photos 1 and 2 in my paper, much less inside the supposed reactor chambers. There was not even proof given such reaction chambers even existed.

As for the other public tests, the *assumption* that pure steam was being provided makes the tests invalid as proof of principle.

You apparently think waving your arms in the air and convincing yourself amounts to some kind of proof, or even has any meaningful bearing, regarding what did or did not, or could or could not, have happened in the Rossi tests. There remains doubt. I think even you have some doubts. There is no actual proof of anything - even though that proof could have easily been provided if Rossi cared to do so.

Watching this video:

   http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t9I_CJti-RU

from 10:26 to 16:09, where the Petroldragon fiasco is reviewed, provides sufficient reason to have some cautious reservation regarding Rossi's present results.

Numerous methods of faking the Rossi demonstrations have been discussed, methods just as credible as Rossi's claims that is. Credibility is in the eye of the beholder. NASA certainly does not find the tests credible proof. There clearly are numerous credible ways for such short running tests to be erroneous or faked. The burden of proof is not on NASA or anyone else to provide faking methods credible to everyone. Certainly various faking methods have been presented which are credible to me.

I have seen neither proof nor disproof publicly provided that Rossi has anything worth investment. The burden of proof is on Rossi. What is necessary is Rossi's credibility, not the credibility of specific faking mechanisms. What is shocking is the assumption on the part of so many people that Rossi's claims are true without the proof that could have been so easily provided by Rossi if he cared.

If this turns out to be a boondoggle then it will damage the credibility of the field and the serious researchers who have struggled more than 20 years, some through retirement to the ends of their lives, to make progress with inappropriately small resources, in the face of denial of publishing or patenting, and even in the face of derision of many of their peers and even the general public.

I can't believe I'm still wasting time discussing this. Rossi's circus is not worth it. It will eventually prove out or not. I have enough problems learning and converting some of my stuff to Win 7 at the moment. It is irritating the amount of work that is required to get going in a Windows environment. It is culture shock.

Best regards,

Horace Heffner
http://www.mtaonline.net/~hheffner/




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