In following up on a story in the Sci-News today, mention was made of the
so-called "Radiation Paradox." In fact there are two versions. If there is
longer-term hope for the residents around Fukushima, healthwise, this could
be relevant.

A region around Ramsar, Iran on the Caspian has the highest level of natural
radioactivity in the world, due to the presence of radioactive hot springs.
The background is 200 times normal and can reach levels in excess of 260
mSv. Radiation workers at reactor sites are limited to less than this level,
but the local population cannot avoid it. Worst of all, the radiation can be
in the drinking water.

Most of the radiation in the Ramsar is due to radium-226, which is dissolved
in water of hot springs. However, in times past (and present) these hot
springs were visited by large numbers of sick people for their health
benefits. Which is one paradox. There is a bona fide benefit for short term
radium exposure that goes back to an age when pneumonia was rampant. In
effect, the radiation kills the infectious agents faster than it kills the
host. 

The high level of radiation at Ramsar, even over lifetime exposure, does not
seem to have caused ill effects on the residents of the area, compared to
other areas of Iran. But can the figures be trusted? There is official
evidence, in fact, that the exposure has made the locals slightly more
resistant to radiation ill effects ... this has been called the "radiation
paradox".

Yet - long term study of the survivors of the atom bombing of Hiroshima and
Nagasaki have indicated the exposure after a bomb can cause a slight excess
in cancer rates in the exposed individuals who survived the blast, but it is
surprisingly small. In a 1990 study, the Radiation Effects Research
Foundation, there were 7827 cancer deaths in the survivor population of
86,000. But that is not excessive. The conclusion was that the A-bomb
radiation "might have" caused 421 "excess" cancers (over normal
expectations). A few other analysts, possibly funded partially by Tepco,
have stated that the Hiroshima rate is actually lower than in comparable
parts of Japan. 

As with "climate change," radiation exposure data and its analysis, is a
subject which is "highly charged" so to speak...

... lies, damn lies, and statistics...

Jones

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