On Thu, May 16, 2013 at 6:58 PM, Jed Rothwell <[email protected]> wrote:
> Joshua Cude <[email protected]> wrote: > > So if the probability of a false positive is 1/3, and 1/3 of the tries are >> hits, then that is consistent with all the hits being false positives. How >> can you not get that? >> > > You are assuming that all hits are false positives. > Right. That's the assumption. If there is no real phenomenon, then positives are false positives. If the probability of a false positive is 1/3, then if 1/3 of the attemptsare positive, then that is consistent with the assumption.
