I constructed a new computer model of the ECAT that allows me to modify the 
variables quickly and made some interesting observations.  If the internal 
temperature of the device reaches the thermal run away level, then it is on its 
way toward self destruction as Rossi has mentioned on several occasions.  It is 
speculated that he could still reverse the action if some form of active 
cooling is incorporated within his design to pull it back from the brink.  My 
latest model suggests that the amount of deviation away from the thermal run 
away temperature determines how much cooling is required to salvage the system.

The other side of the equation is also valid.  If we assume that the drive is 
removed at the optimum time, which is when the internal temperature is close to 
but slightly below the run away point, then the device will immediately begin 
to cool off and head toward room temperature.  This behavior is a typical 
positive feedback loop where the change in direction reinforces itself and the 
action gains momentum with time.  The longer you wait before you correct the 
direction, the harder the task becomes.

With this in mind, I toyed with the new model to see if it might be possible to 
use this behavior to our advantage.  The model suggests that this is the case 
and that the net COP of the device can be quite large if it is possible to keep 
the control input power pulses to low values.  For this to operate it is 
necessary for Rossi to run the ECAT at very near the thermal run away trip 
point.  The closer, the better and this reminds me of tickling a dragon.  You 
better be careful or it might get angry and you know the consequences.

I initiated the output power by supplying a large power pulse which is required 
to push the operation into the negative resistance region so that the positive 
feedback takes over and the modeled temperature begins to climb toward the 
thermal run away level.  The temperature climb takes place while the large 
drive level is active so that control is available.  Once close operation to 
the trip point is achieved, the power input is rapidly removed.  This removal 
of input power is the control method which causes the positive feedback system 
to reverse direction and begin its path toward cooling to room temperature.

Then, my new test control concept is put into action.  I monitor the internal 
feedback power which falls rapidly as the device cools even though the 
temperature and output power falls quite a bit less due to the polynomial power 
effect.  The reversal can be achieved by supplying power greater than the 
difference between the self sustaining power and the internally generated 
power.  The actual power required approaches zero if the temperature can be 
kept at a tiny amount below the thermal runaway temperature.   If active 
cooling is available, then both sides of the trip point could be used.

The model demonstrates a very large COP, but of course changes in the 
environment such as the temperature of the coolant and its flow rate as well as 
many other factors must be considered to determine a safe operation temperature 
band.  And, since the ECAT is not available to test it is not possible to 
establish real time constants for accurate modeling.  With these constraints I 
have constructed a very general model that can be used to generate concepts and 
to see how some of the variables interact.  I have no way to obtain delay 
information at this time and of course, that will complicate the performance 
greatly if excessive.

I want to mention that the recent statements that Rossi has made on his blog 
strongly suggest that the ECAT operates in a manner that is consistent with my 
model.  It is interesting that I can immediately place his numbers into my 
model in a location that makes sense.  The latest discussion of the mouse 
having a reverse relationship to the main cat does seem out of line unless he 
is using words to obscure the meaning.

Dave

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