Edmund Storms <[email protected]> wrote:
> Unlike most technologies, even the new ones, a huge basic understanding is > normally in place on which understanding of the new idea can be > constructed. This is not the case with LENR. No one has a basic > understanding how it works. Success has resulted from luck. In addition, > the number of people who have even a rudimentary understanding is very > limited and growing older by the minuet. > No one in China understands it better than anyone in the U.S. The person who understands it best is Rossi, and he is here. > No effective way exists in the West to teach this limited knowledge to the > next generation - to the scientists and engineers who would be needed to > manufacture the devices. > That is nonsense. Americans are no better or worse at teaching or learning than anyone else. I attended elite universities in the U.S. and Japan. I assure you, Asian kids are no smarter than Americans, Europeans, Russians or Africans, and no culture has any special ability to educate people. A race is on is to acquire this knowledge and Rossi has a head start. If > this knowledge is being acquired and developed in China, the rest of the > world would have no access. > Anything Rossi can discover, others can rediscover. Even if a direct reverse engineering does not work, no secret of this nature can remain hidden for long. > Of course a Manhattan-type program might speed up the rest of the world > getting the knowledge after China put generators on the market. > R&D into cold fusion will far larger than the Manhattan project. R&D into transistors was far larger. IBM's development of the IBM 360 computer cost more than the Manhattan project in constant dollars. > If you suggest the device could be reverse engineered, you would be > wrong. If you propose using a lot of bright physicists to figure out the > process, you would also be wrong. > If bright physicists in China can figure it out, I am certain bright physicists in other countries can too. No major technology can remain secret for long. After Japan opened up in 1868 and began studying European and American technology, they caught up with every major military technology in 20 years. They were 100 years behind. In 1905 they defeated the Russian army and blew the navy out of the water. > The active region is too unique and too small to allow reverse engineering > unless you know what to look for. > They will figure out what to look for! Or they will hire Chinese people who know. > The physics profession has already demonstrated its basic inability to > explain the effect. A physics education is actually a handicap. > First, not all physicists are uniform. I am sure there are many skilled senior physicists who could contribute to this research. Second, Chinese physicists are not much different from ours. It is NOT POSSIBLE they will gain some magic understanding that Americans and others cannot possibly crack. That is not how the human mind works. There are no cultural or biological differences that would allow that. Third, there is a new crop of physicists every years. After it becomes generally known that cold fusion is real, for the next generation the best and brightest of them will go into cold fusion, just as they went into nuclear physics and semiconductors in the past. Consequently, once the West wakes up and discovers it needs to compete > with China, most of the present information will have been lost from the > West and rediscovering the knowledge will take too long. > The West will wake up to this fact about a week after people in China do. This is the 21st century. There are no secrets. If Rossi installs a dozen heaters in factories in the U.S. -- as he plans to do -- everyone in the world will soon know about it, and they will understand the significance. By the time the required knowledge is obtained, China will be far ahead. > But, that is only my opinion based on 23 years of study. > You sound like Wilbur Wright in 1908, when he assured his investors that no one would catch up to him in less than 5 years, because that's how long it took him to develop the airplane. Rivals caught up and surpassed the Wrights in six months. It is much easier to recapitulate research than it is to do it the first time. Especially when you work on a shoestring the first time, and the second time you have 500,000 of the best experts on earth working frantically with unlimited funding. That was the situation with airplanes in 1911 and it will be the situation with cold fusion soon after people realize it is a real, commercial source of energy, far cheaper than any other. > The fact that this very serious and plausible situation exists and nothing > is being done, gives little hope that the response later will be any more > competent . . . > Nothing is being done because no one believes it is real! That is partly the fault of cold fusion researchers, who have hidden their light under a bushel. No one tried to develop airplanes before 1908 because the Wrights refused to fly in front of experts after 1905. One flight lasting 2 minutes long by Wilbur in France was enough to trigger world-wide belief, headlines in every newspaper in Europe, and pandemonium. I have no doubt the same is true of cold fusion. - Jed
