As I said, I suppose first-generation cold fusion electric generators will
resemble today's standby generators or solar installations. I do not know
much about either of them. Perhaps AlanG can tell us about the costs and
problems with solar installations, with inverters and so on.

This is only speculation but --

I suppose that first-generation devices will have moving parts. Perhaps
they will be steam turbines. You need electricity all the time. Even in the
middle of the night there are electric clocks, and "parasitic demand" from
power supplies. You probably would not want a mechanical generator to run
continuously. I suppose that a continuous duty cycle would cause the
machine to wear out quickly. I can think of two ways to avoid this:

1. With a battery pack such as some solar installations use. That sounds
expensive.

2. By using mains electricity below a certain threshold. For example you
might set the machine to stay in standby mode until your household demand
exceeds 1 kW. Your generator turns on and produces enough for your house,
plus extra power which it feeds power back to the power company to reduce
the power company bill. If total demand exceeds the capacity of your
generator, you use more mains electricity.

I do not know what a first generation machine might cost. I'm guessing
something like $15,000 to $20,000. I base this on the cost of standby
generators, and full-time generators used in remote locations. I am
assuming the cold fusion device will operate with nickel which will make it
cheap once mass production begins and competition begins. I do not know
what the cost of inverters and the gadgets needed to feed power back to the
electric company cost.

Portable generators have only about a 2,000 hour lifespan. 20 kW standby
generators cost only about $4,500. I doubt they would last long with
continuous duty. I have not found any information on a full-time remote
generator. There probably is not much of a market for that.

I am assuming this would be a cogenerator, so it would reduce your
equipment expenses somewhat. You do not have to pay for a space heating
furnace which costs $1,000. This would save a great deal on your natural
gas bill.

In the distant future, I presume that thermoelectric devices will be
perfected. Since they have no moving parts and will be no harm in leaving
them online all the time with a constant duty cycle. By the time this
happens the power companies will be out of business. Also, by this time,
most large appliances will be self-powered, many of them directly with cold
fusion heat, such as thermal refrigerators and air conditioners.

Arthur Clarke suggested that with cold fusion stand-alone generators, and
no connection to the power company, it would be safer to use DC rather than
AC in the house.

- Jed

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