-Max average Ecat temp recorded in test 1412°C, 2.8kW heat output.
- 20mm diameter, 200mm long, thermal conductivity of alumina 6W/m/K at
1400°C means for 1mm wall thickness would have 40°C through-wall temp
differential, for 2mm would be 80°C.
-So assuming 1mm wall thickness (probably conservative) the internal
reactor temp is at least 1450°C

Through wall temperature differentials like that induce large stresses as
external surface is subject to tensile stress and inner wall subject to
compressive stress.
http://www.ceramics.nist.gov/srd/summary/scdaos.htm
Alumina at 1400°C has thermal expansion of 8.5e-6/K, tensile strength of
22MPa, 343GPa elastic modulus so 40K temp difference means 33MPa
compressive stress at inner surface and 33MPa tensile at outer surface.  It
would crack and break letting oxygen in, particularly if made thicker
walls.  The external surface crenellations would create stress
concentrators that would only make this worse.

Resistive heating wires inside the alumina tube must necessarily be a lot
hotter than 1450°C in order to push 900W heat into reactor.  But there are
no non-refractory heating wires that can survive such high temperatures.
Refractorys can't handle oxygen exposure, and in some cases are no good
with lithium or hydrogen.  The wires have to be joined to non=refractory
wires before they contact air and yet at those joints must not melt the
non-refractory wire either.  I am also not aware of electrical
feed-throughs that can handle such high temperatures.

1455°C Ni melting point, but nano particles of metal have depressed melting
points.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Melting-point_depression

The fuel/reaction particles as the source of all the heat would need to be
at a temperature far above the internal reactor surface temp of 1450°C,
probably at least 50-100°C higher, in order to radiate/convect the heat
away to the walls.

So at 1450°C we can expect that the Ni fuel particles are much hotter, and
liquid, making for rapid mixing.  Forget special crystalline structures
created by secret processes. LENR in a liquid matrix seems to run counter
to a lot of theories.

Lithium vapour pressure at 1450°C is around 5-10 bar, with approximately
.01g of lithium in reactor and perhaps 20-30mL volume that means nearly all
lithium is in vapour state or as Li liquid condensate on relatively cooler
reactor walls.  This reactor is mostly nickel droplets in lithium gas (the
hydrogen will all diffuse away through porous sintered alumina rapidly at
such high temperatures, but perhaps is useful to create reducing conditions
initially).

This internal lithium vapour pressure would also add to the physical stress
on the alumina - probably 5-10MPa, which would likely cause a failure given
any other stresses (such as aforementioned heat flux induced differential
expansion stresses).

Nickel vapour pressure is around 1Pa at 1500°C, so in a month long test we
can expect that along with liquid state of Ni fuel droplets' continual
evaporation and condensation, dissolving in lithium condensate of Ni within
the reactor vessel will lead to steady mixing between the droplets.

Li + Ni vapour will condense into a thin layer on the cool walls of the
reactor - basically acting as a lithium heat pipe and create very
consistent all-over temperatures.  Perhaps with small drops of lithium
condensing and rolling down sides with some dissolved Ni, or otherwise
simply leaving a thin coating of Ni and Li on walls.

Alumina is strongly attacked by liquid lithium reacting with it to form new
compounds - I would expect it to be quickly consuming the available lithium
in the slightly porous alumina.

And we do see that Nickel "ash" has very little Lithium (.03%, down from
1.17%)

Basically all fuel should end up very homogenous.

Liquid Nickel dissolves alumina and oxygen to a small degree- about 1.8%
and 1.6 % respectively, but only 0-.05% aluminium in analysed ash - that
probably indicates something in error
http://docs.sadrnezhaad.com/papers/176%20(Interaction%20Crucible%20NiTi).pdf

If there is a secondary smaller sealed reactor vessel within the alumina
tube then if must be even hotter.

So so questions that need to be answered:
1/ Why isn't there more aluminium in ash given claimed temperatures?
2/ How does theory deal with liquid Ni as the LENR matrix?
3/ How do heater wires survive these temps without melting - it is well
beyond temps that non-refractory metals can withstand, particularly given
that they must be a lot hotter than the reactor itself, and refractory
metal wires would fail at external joints.  Not to mention non-leaking
feed-throughs of heater wires into reactor while maintaining seal integrity
is probably not possible at such high temps due to differential thermal
expansion of metal vs ceramic and limited strength of materials.
4/ If within the reactor itself how do heater wires survive exposure to
1450°C lithium without dissolving/disintegrating.
5/ Given claimed heat flux and internal pressure why didn't alumina tube
fail?

PS: can anyone calculate hydrogen diffusion rates through the alumina tube?

http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1151-2916.1979.tb19114.x/abstract
quoted eqn+units in this abstract aren't clear to me.

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