On 14/07/2009, Sage Ross <ragesoss+wikipe...@gmail.com> wrote: > On Tue, Jul 14, 2009 at 10:07 AM, Ian Woollard<ian.wooll...@gmail.com> > wrote: > >> >> It's looking to me like 3.5 million is about the plateau, since the >> curve is bang on that, but we might make 4 million *eventually*. >> >> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:Modelling_Wikipedia%27s_growth#Logistic_model_for_growth_in_article_count_of_Wikipedia >> > > I don't think the bell-shaped articles/day curve of the logistic model > is a good description of the trends. Since article creation peaked in > 2007, the falloff in article creation has been much slower than than > ramp-up. Rather than falling back to close to zero articles/day over > the next 5 years or so (as the logistic model predicts), it looks like > we're heading to an asymptote of (I'm eyeballing it here) around 1000 > articles/day. I expect 4 million articles a lot sooner than > *eventually*. ;)
http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Enwikipediagrowth.PNG We're already down to 1000/day growth on the unsmoothed graph as we fall off one of the two biannual growth peaks. Looks like the Wikipedia is still bang-on for 3.5 million articles. > -Sage -- -Ian Woollard _______________________________________________ WikiEN-l mailing list WikiEN-l@lists.wikimedia.org To unsubscribe from this mailing list, visit: https://lists.wikimedia.org/mailman/listinfo/wikien-l