On Tue, Nov 17, 2009 at 1:19 PM, Carcharoth <carcharot...@googlemail.com> wrote: > On Tue, Nov 17, 2009 at 5:59 AM, Ian Woollard <ian.wooll...@gmail.com> wrote: >> On 14/07/2009, Sage Ross <ragesoss+wikipe...@gmail.com> wrote: >>> On Tue, Jul 14, 2009 at 10:07 AM, Ian Woollard<ian.wooll...@gmail.com> >>> wrote: >>> >>>> >>>> It's looking to me like 3.5 million is about the plateau, since the >>>> curve is bang on that, but we might make 4 million *eventually*. >>>> >>>> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:Modelling_Wikipedia%27s_growth#Logistic_model_for_growth_in_article_count_of_Wikipedia >>>> >>> >>> I don't think the bell-shaped articles/day curve of the logistic model >>> is a good description of the trends. Since article creation peaked in >>> 2007, the falloff in article creation has been much slower than than >>> ramp-up. Rather than falling back to close to zero articles/day over >>> the next 5 years or so (as the logistic model predicts), it looks like >>> we're heading to an asymptote of (I'm eyeballing it here) around 1000 >>> articles/day. I expect 4 million articles a lot sooner than >>> *eventually*. ;) >> >> http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Enwikipediagrowth.PNG >> >> We're already down to 1000/day growth on the unsmoothed graph as we >> fall off one of the two biannual growth peaks. >> >> Looks like the Wikipedia is still bang-on for 3.5 million articles. > > As long as history doesn't come to an end, and new people keep getting > born and (annoyingly) becoming notable enough for a Wikipedia article, > there will always be a need for new articles. > > Carcharoth >
There are even articles that were deleted without prejudice before, that *gasp* happen to do gain notability! (I happened to look over my own deletion logs yesterday, and a handfull of articles that were (IMO correctly) deleted without prejudice in the past, that are now decent articles). Martijn _______________________________________________ WikiEN-l mailing list WikiEN-l@lists.wikimedia.org To unsubscribe from this mailing list, visit: https://lists.wikimedia.org/mailman/listinfo/wikien-l
