[Winona Online Democracy]


-----Original Message-----
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]]On
Behalf Of Robert P Kaldunski
Sent: Saturday, February 15, 2003 7:24 AM
To: Anne; Roy Nasstrom; Paul Double; Online Democracy
Subject: Re: [Winona] Savings Information Request to local public bodies


[Winona Online Democracy]

Perhaps someone could explain to me in simple terms why, while Mr.
Clinton(personal life excluded) had a good economy and within 2 years of
taking office Mr. Bush has us going the other way like a downhill speed
skier?
      Bob Kaldunski

Glen responds:

This question makes multiple invalid assumptions:

1) That the President is primarily responsible, or has a large impact on the
economy (in either direction). There is a tendency to give any president
both too much credit for a good economy and too much blame for a bad one.

2) That the economy only turned down after Bush took office.  The economy
had started to slow well within the Clinton administration.  The growth rate
of GDP had slowed during 2000 and the stock market had stalled by early
2000. The February 2001 Federal Reserve Board Monetary Policy report to
Congress included this:

"The combination of exceptionally strong growth in the first half of 2000
and subdued growth in the second half resulted in a rise in real GDP of
about 3-1/2 percent for the year overall. Domestic demand started out the
year with incredible vigor but decelerated thereafter and was sluggish by
year-end. Exports surged for three quarters and then faltered. In the labor
market, growth of employment slowed over the year but was sufficient to keep
the unemployment rate around the lowest sustained level in more than thirty
years.:

Read more:
http://www.federalreserve.gov/boarddocs/hh/2001/February/ReportSection2.htm



3) That the economy is currently in a downturn. Here is a quote from the Feb
2003 Federal Reserve Board Monetary Policy report to Congress:

"In 2002, the United States economy extended the upturn in activity that
began in late 2001. Real GDP increased 2-3/4 percent over the four quarters
of last year, according to the advance estimate from the Commerce
Department. However, the pace of activity was uneven over the course of the
year, as concerns about emerging economic and political developments at
times weighed heavily on an economy already adjusting to a succession of
shocks from previous years."

Read more at:
http://www.federalreserve.gov/boarddocs/hh/2003/February/ReportSection2.htm

If one were to make the assumption that presidents have control of the
economy that BK made (which I do not) the correct question might be: Explain
to me why, when Clinton had dramatically slowed the US economy just prior to
leaving office, Bush was able to so quickly generate a return to growth?

In reality, either question is bogus.

Glen Schumann
Winona, MN

[EMAIL PROTECTED] <mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]>

H: 507.454.3056   W: 507.453.3567  W FAX: 507.454.1440

Visit my Family Home Page: <http://www.hbci.com/~gschuman/home.htm>



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