If you make the analogy between the industrial revolution and the 
electronic business/commerce revolution,  EDI and VANs equals basic 
electricity flowing through wires.   The internet is the 60Hz 120 volt AC 
power grid standard,  and XML is the definition of the electrical plug 
standard.   At some point during the prior revolution,  it became totally 
impractical for anybody to draw power from anywhere other than the standard 
power grid.   BUT!!!!,  there were many electrical applications that 
required power other than 60Hz 120 volt AC,  so they drew the raw power 
from the grid and converted and transformed the power into the format they 
needed.

I think the same thing will happen in the electronic commerce/business 
space.   XML will be the standard plug.    The EDI world will simply at 
some point learn to adapt to the commodity power grid, (the Internet),  but 
they may do so by simple conversion or adaption.      There is still a long 
maturation process that has yet to occur in the XML space,  but it will 
definitely happen.   Once XML has matured,  it will become very difficult 
to justify any new 'E' initiatives using anything other than XML.   But 
that still does not mean that EDI has to at that point cease to work!   If 
a huge corporation has a huge investment in an EDI infrastructure,  they'd 
likely only bother to tinker with it enough so that it can utilize the 
standard information grid.  Inside the corporation, they still see EDI or 
X.12 or whatever,  but at some point they will on the fly transform to XML 
for no other reason that it was cost justified.

At 02:41 AM 8/24/00 -0700, martin wrote:


>My prediction, and I back it up with my investment in companies that work 
>with XML technology. The big boys of EDI will try hard to hold on to their 
>market.  But I give them 5 years at the very most for them to have a 
>significant share of the EDI business.  There is a great forward momentum 
>of XML development by many companies that I can see an end to traditional 
>EDI.  We are in a new economy.  It's wasteful to use traditional 
>EDI.  It's more cost effective to use some form of EDI-XML.  In the mean 
>time some big companies will be forced to use some form of middle ware 
>between traditional EDI and EDI-XML. But sooner than later XML will 
>dominate the EDI market.
>
>
>
>It is simply wasteful to use traditional EDI flavors.
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>Martin Z. Ford, CEO
>
>image001.gif
>
>Creating the Digital Community  (tm)
>
>
>
>Hop Media, Incorporated
>
>P.O. Box 12593
>
>122 Cuvier Street
>
>San Francisco, CA 94112
>
>
>
>Tel: 415.333.5442
>
>Fax: 415.680.1703
>
>
>
>[EMAIL PROTECTED]
>
><http://www.hopmedia.com/>http://www.hopmedia.com
>
>
>
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>
>-----Original Message-----
>From: kurt Svensson [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]]
>Sent: Thursday, August 24, 2000 2:22 AM
>To: Paul Williams; [EMAIL PROTECTED]
>Cc: xmledi-group; rachelf; [EMAIL PROTECTED]
>Subject: Re: Re[2]: Is the Internet/XML Going to Kill EDI?
>
>
>
>PaulPaul Williams wrote:
>
>
>
> >We use tools for translation and transmission which are well established,
> >something which the XML world is lacking.
>
>
>There are a lot of XML systems available today. Some of them are easier to use
>
>than EDI systems
>
>
>
>Kurt Svensson
>
><http://www.inobiz.se>www.inobiz.se
>
>
>
>
>
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Brad Hodges - Principal Systems Engineer
BEA Systems,  (626) 794-9823, page 888-768-4403





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