On 10/18/07, J Storrs Hall, PhD <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > I'd be interested in everyone's take on the following: > > 1. What is the single biggest technical gap between current AI and AGI? ( > e.g. > we need a way to do X or we just need more development of Y or we have the > ideas, just need hardware, etc)
I don't think the gap is a technical gap really, it's a conceptual gap. An AGI is a fundamentally different sort of beast than a narrow AI. What we need is to have a number of years of concentrated detailed-design and engineering effort by a dedicated, appropriately skilled software/computer-science team, focused on implementing, tuning and teaching an AGI based on a workable high-level design. The Novamente design is a workable high-level design for an AGI. There may be others. 2. Do you have an idea as to what should should be done about (1) that would > significantly accelerate progress if it were generally adopted? > > 3. If (2), how long would it take the field to attain (a) a baby mind, (b) > a > mature human-equivalent AI, if your idea(s) were adopted and AGI seriously > pursued? When we put all the pending Novamente tasks into Microsoft Project about a year ago, it came out to something like 6.5 years of work for a strong team of 10-15 totally focused, appropriately skilled people. By now we have probably shaved a few months off that due to our ongoing work. This is for getting to a young-child-mind, not a baby mind. A baby mind is too hard to validate, IMO. The goal is to get to the level of English communication at the level of a 4 or 5 year old child. [for examples of conversation at this level, see the end of my post at http://www.singinst.org/blog/2007/10/13/a-toddler-turing-test/#comment-8509] I think it will not be more than 3-5 years between a and b. Potentially a bunch less than that, depending on how much resources the baby mind attracts. 4. How long to (a) and (b) if AI research continues more or less as it is > doing now? 3 decades, perhaps? -- Ben ----- This list is sponsored by AGIRI: http://www.agiri.org/email To unsubscribe or change your options, please go to: http://v2.listbox.com/member/?member_id=8660244&id_secret=54913571-cbca1b
