Please find below commentaries of a naive neat which do not quite agree with the approaches of the seasoned users on this list. Comments and pointers are most welcome.
On 10/18/07, J Storrs Hall, PhD <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > I'd be interested in everyone's take on the following: > > 1. What is the single biggest technical gap between current AI and AGI? (e.g. > we need a way to do X or we just need more development of Y or we have the > ideas, just need hardware, etc) I believe there are primarily two fundamental problems for the optimal decision making approach to AGI and largely for AI in general. Albeit purely a guess, contemporary machinery should suffice for proper solutions. (1a) Metareasoning problems and the exploration-exploitation dilemma, which seems to be specializations and/or formulations of the same problems. (1b) A formal approach to ill-defined problems. Most notable assumptions of inductive bias and subsequently empirical generalization. > > 2. Do you have an idea as to what should should be done about (1) that would > significantly accelerate progress if it were generally adopted? Old-fashioned foundational research deals with (1a). (1a) consists of modern problems which neither has or is recieving a great deal of attention. My hypothesis is that it is primarily due to its difficulty, which research in adjacent fields might cover in an ever so inert but imminent manner. > > 3. If (2), how long would it take the field to attain (a) a baby mind, (b) a > mature human-equivalent AI, if your idea(s) were adopted and AGI seriously > pursued? The ultimate goal is not human-level intelligence but optimal decision making. Obviously a human or superhuman intelligence, as with a near-optimal decision maker, could render our work useless as it approaches the questions itself. Wildly guessing, I imagine the level of intelligence or rational decision maker of a toddler would take three to a twenty years of active research, a mature human four to a hundred, and an optimal six to infinity. During these years, invaluable and innumerable contributions should have been made to computer science in general and associated fields. > > 4. How long to (a) and (b) if AI research continues more or less as it is > doing now? I would triple the numbers. > > Thanks, > > Josh > > ----- > This list is sponsored by AGIRI: http://www.agiri.org/email > To unsubscribe or change your options, please go to: > http://v2.listbox.com/member/?&; > -- Cenny Wenner ----- This list is sponsored by AGIRI: http://www.agiri.org/email To unsubscribe or change your options, please go to: http://v2.listbox.com/member/?member_id=8660244&id_secret=55007886-023787
