thaoeuns at gmail.com wrote:
> So changing the komi doesn't actually improve your confidence
> interval. If (as Darren said) the win percentage is a crude 
> estimate of the final score, then changing komi would do nothing 
> to change the results one got (and at extremes biases it badly). 
> Moving the ratios closer to 50/50 (by whatever means) at the high 
> end changes the variance of the data, and in a world where there's 
> a 1:1 correspondence between score and win ratio does nothing to 
> change one's confidence that the highest ranked node should be.

You are wrong. Look at my experiments with "trivial" double step races

  http://www.althofer.de/mc-laziness.pdf

When a Monte-Carlo player thinks to be behind (for instance in a race
6 vs 3) he plays the weaker move more often than in a 6 vs 6 situation.

> Of note there is that the goal, of any method chosen, is to make the
> ranking of individual moves as accurate as possible...
>
> Of course what would be most preferable would be lots of data. 
> Arguing with guesses instead of data is silly.

Very good point.

Ingo.


-- 
Neu: GMX Doppel-FLAT mit Internet-Flatrate + Telefon-Flatrate
für nur 19,99 Euro/mtl.!* http://portal.gmx.net/de/go/dsl02
_______________________________________________
computer-go mailing list
computer-go@computer-go.org
http://www.computer-go.org/mailman/listinfo/computer-go/

Reply via email to