thaoeuns at gmail.com wrote: > So changing the komi doesn't actually improve your confidence > interval. If (as Darren said) the win percentage is a crude > estimate of the final score, then changing komi would do nothing > to change the results one got (and at extremes biases it badly). > Moving the ratios closer to 50/50 (by whatever means) at the high > end changes the variance of the data, and in a world where there's > a 1:1 correspondence between score and win ratio does nothing to > change one's confidence that the highest ranked node should be.
You are wrong. Look at my experiments with "trivial" double step races http://www.althofer.de/mc-laziness.pdf When a Monte-Carlo player thinks to be behind (for instance in a race 6 vs 3) he plays the weaker move more often than in a 6 vs 6 situation. > Of note there is that the goal, of any method chosen, is to make the > ranking of individual moves as accurate as possible... > > Of course what would be most preferable would be lots of data. > Arguing with guesses instead of data is silly. Very good point. Ingo. -- Neu: GMX Doppel-FLAT mit Internet-Flatrate + Telefon-Flatrate für nur 19,99 Euro/mtl.!* http://portal.gmx.net/de/go/dsl02 _______________________________________________ computer-go mailing list computer-go@computer-go.org http://www.computer-go.org/mailman/listinfo/computer-go/