Abd ul-Rahman Lomax wrote:

At 04:36 AM 7/26/2007, Michael Ossipoff wrote:
So I repeat that, in public elections, Schudy's statement was correct, when he said that it is never optimal to rate someone other than top or bottom.

I have currently posted a counterexample. Perhaps Ossipoff addresses it later, but prior to the present post he has not.

The example: many voters, large enough that a three-way tie is of negligible effect on utilities.

Three candidates. Range 2 (CR-3).

Voter with utilities of 2, 1, 0.

Zero knowledge, so all vote patterns from the electorate minus our voter are equally possible.

Expected utility of Approval Votes of 220 or 200: 39/27 (improvement over not voting: 12/27).

Expected utility of Sincere Vote, 210: 40/27, improvement over not voting: 13/27.

Improvement over Approval by voting Sincerely: 1/27.

Take a look. If there is an error in the calculation, I'd like to know.

What "calculation"? Look at what? With "many voters" your "improvement over not voting" figures look too high.
Please, if you can, find the error in the proof; sufficient information has been given as to how to do it, and my spreadsheet has been posted, but you'll need Excel or some spreadsheet program that can read Excel files.

Right.  "Posted" where?

Chris Benham


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