Yes,John and a month ago, Kurzweil predicted the being of physical immortality 
via Drexler's medical nanobots. 2030.
QC must be the trigger because it's power can only enhance what is the mind. 
For me, whether conscious or not, I want the machinery to speed up scientific, 
technological, achievement by decades and centuries. Living like The Jetson's 
is the goal, with Rosy the Robot as optional. 
Neural chips from Musk? Buy me a 12 pack!


-----Original Message-----
From: John Clark <johnkcl...@gmail.com>
To: spudboy...@aol.com
Cc: everything-list@googlegroups.com <everything-list@googlegroups.com>
Sent: Sat, Apr 29, 2023 8:20 am
Subject: Re: Moore's law for Everything

On Fri, Apr 28, 2023 at 9:06 PM <spudboy...@aol.com> wrote:


> What we seem to need is a Singularity where we get breakthroughs in materials 
> science, and medicine. I will guess that only when LMM's and other devices 
> merge with low-error, high capacity quantum computers is when this will 
> happen.

Practical Quantum Computers would just be icing on the cake. I now believe with 
98% certainty (by that I mean that if I was a betting man I would give 98% odds 
on it happening), that the Singularity will happen in less than 20 years with 
or without the help of Quantum Computers. And probably much less. And possibly 
much much less. I would not have had the courage to make that prediction one 
year ago, or even 4 months ago, but one hell of a lot has happened in the last 
few months.

Sam Altman said "The future can be almost unimaginably great" and I agree with 
him about that, in fact I'd change the "can be" to "will be'', but I'm not at 
all certain if it will be unimaginably good or unimaginably bad for the human 
race. The only thing I'm certain of is that we live in interesting times, if 
things beyond that could be predicted with certainty then it wouldn't be a 
Singularity.  
John K Clark    See what's on my new list at  Extropolis
wbs

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