On 2022-07-26 7:33 PM, Poul-Henning Kamp wrote:
So looking at the IERS LOD plot going all the way back it seems to
me that we have been missing the big signal for about five decades:

        
https://datacenter.iers.org/singlePlot.php?plotname=EOPC04_14_62-NOW_IAU2000A-LOD&id=224

How did we not notice that earlier ?

In the last paragraph of the IERS Conventions, IERS Technical Note 36, section 6.1 Conventional model based on the EGM2008 model, we find: "There may be decadal variations that are not captured by the models."

Can anyone elaborate on what these 'decadal variations' may be?

-Brooks
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